In the current background of developing low carbon economy and tacklingclimate change globally, extensive traditional coal chemical industry developmentmodel has serious overcapacity in urgent need of restructuring. Based on ourspecial energy structure rich in coalã€oil-poor〠less gas, developing new coalchemical industry is a major strategic issue without delay. This paper describesthe development conditions of new coal chemical industry, analyzed the price ofcoal and economic competitiveness of new coal chemical industry can affordunder different crude oil prices; established gray prediction model, trendextrapolation model and combination forecast model predicts the future supplyand demand gap of the new main products of coal chemical industry; analyzed thenew coal chemical industry development layout through the distribution of waterand coal resources; At the same time,it also analyzed the risk of the new coalchemical industry development on industrial policy and energy situation andproposed some recommendations. This paper makes system research to the newcoal chemical industry development on many aspects. It will be far-reaching toour new coal chemical industry of reasonable development.
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