Research On The Spatial And Temporal Differentiation Characteristics And Influencing Factors Of China’s Provincial Economic Resilience

Economic resilience is an important part of the "14th Five-Year Plan",one of the important elements for the high-quality development of our country’s economy in the future,and one of the driving forces for the coordinated development of various regions.Starting from the connotation and characteristics of regional economic resilience,based on the analysis of the current situation of my country’s regional economic development,this paper comprehensively evaluates the temporal and spatial differentiation characteristics of regional economic resilience in my country’s31 provincial-level administrative regions from the provincial spatial scale.Through mechanism mechanism analysis,theoretical and graphical models are constructed to explore the influencing factors of regional economic resilience and their path roles,and the panel data model in econometrics is used to conduct empirical tests.A new perspective of economic resilience is provided for the scientific decision-making of China’s coordinated regional development.The research results show that while my country’s regional economy is developing rapidly,there are great differences in economic resilience among regions.From 2006 to 2019,my country’s regional economic resilience showed a trend of first deterioration and then gradual improvement.The gap between regions was gradually narrowing,but regional differences persisted.The temporal and spatial differential features of our country’s regional economic sustainability during this period are evident;they show characteristics of strong spatial autocorrelation as well as general spatial characteristics of agglomeration,with the agglomeration area expanding to the east and north.There are obvious differences in the distribution of hot and cold spots,and the differences in economic resilience between regions need to be narrowed.The low-resilience areas are mainly concentrated in remote and poor areas in the northwest and southwest,and are distributed in a ring shape in Inner Mongolia,Shaanxi,Gansu,Ningxia,Xinjiang,Qinghai,Tibet,and Yunnan and Guizhou;the moderately resilient areas are distributed in groups in the central and northeastern regions of China;The highly resilient regions are distributed in the eastern coastal and northward regions in a band shape.At the same time,with the continuous development of China’s economy,the level of regional economic resilience in most regions has increased;showing a trend of "high in the southeast and low in the northwest" in space,and the spatial distribution is relatively stable.Taking 2010 as the boundary point,the spatial spread of regional economic resilience is characterized by a "U" curve.Through the role of different paths,it affects the spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics of regional economic resilience,and promotes the ability of regions to resist risks and the level of coordinated development between regions.At the same time,the resilience of the regional economy has triggered a virtuous cycle mechanism for the coordinated development of the regional economy,and ultimately achieves coordinated development among regions.This paper analyzes the mechanism and mechanism of the influencing factors of regional economic resilience from the four directions of industrial structure,fiscal policy,ecological environment and foreign trade export.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 2006 to 2019,a binary selection Logit model was constructed.The empirical results show that: fiscal expenditure,foreign trade exports,and the level of industrial specialization have a significant negative impact on regional economic resilience;the urban ecological,environmental regulation and the degree of industrial diversification in the industrial structurehave a positive impact,while there is no significant correlation between the Small and medium-sized enterprises indicators;at the same time,the influencing factors of regional economic resilience show regional heterogeneity.Based on this,policy recommendations are put forward to build a regional economic development direction with local characteristics based on regional conditions,attach importance to the role of talents and innovation,and change the mode of economic development to promote high-quality economic development.