Research On The Spatio-temporal Evolution And Influencing Factors Of Economic Resilience In China

In recent years,the Chinese economy has sought progress while maintaining stability.It has successfully withstood the international financial crisis,COVID-19 and other emergencies and maintained a stable economic performance.Strong economic resilience will help the economic system respond quickly and actively to shocks and restore normal economic operations.The in-depth discussion of economic resilience provides a new perspective for improving the ability of the economic system to prevent and resist external risks,and also injects energy into the sustainable development of China’s regional economy.Firstly,on the basis of defining the connotation of economic resilience,this paper constructs a comprehensive index system of economic resilience,calculates the development level of economic resilience of each province by using the entropy weight method and ranks it.Secondly,it analyzes the space-time evolution characteristics of China’s economic resilience through mathematical statistics.Thirdly,the econometric model is used to empirically analyze the main influencing factors of China’s economic resilience,and put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.The following conclusions are drawn:(1)From the perspective of time sequence,the overall level of China’s economic resilience is on the rise,and it has also shown strong resilience in responding to the 2008 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 since2020.(2)From the perspective of space,the economic resilience of China presents obvious spatial differentiation characteristics: the economic resilience of the eastern region is the highest,the central region is the second,and the western region and the northeast region are lower.Moreover,there is a significant spatial agglomeration phenomenon in the economic resilience of China.The eastern region has always been shown as "H-H agglomeration",while most provinces in the central,western and northeastern regions are shown as "L-L agglomeration".(3)The empirical results show that the upgrading of industrial structure,foreign investment and infrastructure construction have a significant positive impact on economic resilience,while the expansion of urban-rural income gap will inhibit the improvement of economic resilience.And the four explanatory variables have different degrees of spatial spillover effects on economic resilience.Finally,throw out corresponding countermeasures and suggestions to promote the resilience of our economic from the following four aspects.Improve the efficiency of factor allocation and promote the upgrading of industrial structure;Promote the dual-cycle development pattern and speed up regional opening up;Narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas and promote common prosperity;Increase investment in transportation infrastructure and improve transportation accessibility.