A Study On Influential Factors And Trade Potential Of Brazilian Coffee Export To China

Brazil is the biggest coffee producer and exporter in the World.Coffee is one of main agricultural products exported by Brazil,representing approximately 31%of global coffee export volume.As one of world’s developing coffee consumer markets,with grand quantity of population,China is one of biggest markets in the world,which still has huge potential on coffee consumption.Therefore,in order to increment on coffee trade between Brazil and China,it is significant to analyze influential factors and trade potential that may affect Brazilian coffee export to China.In this thesis,based on the relative references,it will be firstly reported an overview on Brazil coffee production,consumption,and export,as well as,China coffee consumption,and import trade,Then,based on Brazil coffee export data in the period of 2012-2021,gathered from UN Comtrade Database,creating the gravity models to analyze the main influential factors on Brazil coffee export trade and to calculate trade potential of two countries on coffee trade.The results show:Brazilian coffee production level and RTA have positive influence on Brazil coffee export,however,Brazilian population,geographical distance between two countries,the difference of per capita income,and coffee price play negative roles in coffee export.Based on calculation of trade potential,it is known that Brazil and China have great potential on coffee trade.The two countries have great opportunity in corporation.