| Since 2005,China’s wooden furniture exports have ranked first.In 2019,the export value reached 19.921 billion US dollars,and the international market share was 29.09,far ahead of other economies.However,there are also many difficulties in the export of Chinese wooden furniture.Including the concentration of the export market and the decline of the international market share.Therefore,the purpose of this paper is to find out the factors hindering the export of Chinese wooden furniture on the basis of analyzing the basic situation of China’s wooden furniture export,and to explore the potential space for the development of Chinese wooden furniture in the emerging stage,in order to provide some advice of Chinese wooden furniture to maintain sustainable develop.This study firstly summarizes the trade potential of domestic and foreign scholars and the basic situation of wood furniture product trade.Then use the statistical description,it analyzes the basic export situation of China’s wood furniture industry,including the export products of wood furniture,the source of export origin and the export market.And the consignor area is more concentrated,and the export product structure is unreasonable and the products still rely on the price advantage to occupy the market.After that,the paper constructs a corresponding stochastic frontier gravitational model to explore the influencing factors of wood furniture export,and then calculates the trade potential.The final model results show that: in terms of natural factors,the economic scale and common official language of both sides of the trade have a promoting effect on China’s exports,while the demographic variables and distance variables of trading partners(regions)have a hindering effect on China’s exports.Secondly,in the non-efficiency Among the factors,common regional trade agreements,liner shipping indicators of trading partners,port infrastructure indicators,ease of doing business index and trade freedom will promote the export of Chinese wood furniture,while the exchange rate of trading partner countries(regions)currencies to US dollars,Trading partner countries(regions)with FSC forest certification will hinder the export of Chinese wood furniture.Export efficiency shows that in the 11 years after 2009,the average annual export efficiency of China’s wooden furniture was 0.53,and there is still a lot of room for improvement;from a regional perspective,the three regions of China,the United States,East Asia and the South Pacific have the highest overall efficiency,and Africa and the South Pacific have the highest overall efficiency.The CIS has the lowest trade efficiency;from the perspective of economies,there is a huge gap between the economies,and extreme phenomena occur at both ends,which also echoes the concentration of China’s wood furniture export distribution.Further,the article classifies export markets according to trade efficiency and current actual export volume,mainly mature markets,immature markets,potential mining markets and key development markets.Finally,based on empirical research and combined with the current background of the wood furniture industry,the article puts forward suggestions to improve the FSC forest certification system,develop markets according to national conditions and implement a differentiated strategy,as well as improve the threshold of the wood furniture industry and integrate wood furniture into local characteristic culture. |