Research On The Potential Of Digital Trade Between China And Central And Eastern European Countries

With the in-depth implementation of trade internationalization,trade between the countries has grown closer.In the context of the Belt and Road Initiative and the China-CEE "16+1" cooperation,this thesis focuses on China and 17 CEE countries and selects panel data on bilateral digital trade between 2008 and 2020.This thesis analyses bilateral digital trade between China and CEE countries,as well as the scale of digital trade among countries and regions,studies the structure of bilateral digital trade,and the realistic basis of bilateral digital trade potential between China and CEE countries is analyzed through digital trade integration and complementarity indices.In the empirical aspect,this thesis establishes a stochastic frontier gravity model for multi-dimensional analysis,studies from three aspects: export,import and bilateral digital trade,explains the relevant variables and analyzes the mechanism,and uses frontier 4.1 software to analyze the natural and human factors affecting the bilateral digital trade between China and CEE countries,expounds the effects of relevant factors from the empirical results,calculates and analyzes the trade efficiency and trade potential of bilateral digital trade,and explains the rising space of bilateral digital trade potential.The results of this thesis show that the digital trade between China and CEE countries is small,and there are obvious differences in national and regional digital trade cooperation.The combination of bilateral digital trade is weak,and the close degree of trade ties is sparse;Digital trade is highly complementary and has great potential for cooperation enhancement.From the empirical results,the efficiency of bilateral digital trade between China and CEE countries is low,and the overall average efficiency is only about 46.53%.From the perspective of trade non efficiency,its effect on China’s digital trade export is not obvious,but it has a significant effect on digital import.It significantly expands bilateral digital trade by stimulating China’s digital import.In addition,the lower level of Internet infrastructure development,trade freedom and EU membership are all significant impediments to the efficiency of bilateral digital trade between China and CEE countries.The signing of the "the Belt and Road" cooperation document has a significant positive effect on the expansion of bilateral digital trade.Therefore,this thesis believes that we should continue to increase the construction of bilateral Internet infrastructure and enhance the vitality of digital economy from the above perspective;Optimize the structure of Digital Trade and expand the field of digital trade.At the same time,China needs to further strengthen ties with "old trading countries",constantly develop the potential of "new trading countries",continue to promote the construction of bilateral multi-dimensional "digital channels",further improve the efficiency of bilateral digital trade and release the potential of digital trade.