Research On Project Risk Management Of A Real Estate Development Project In F County Based On The Whole Development Process

Since the late of 1990 s,with the rapid development of our national economy and the accelerated process of urbanization,the real estate industry has become one of the important pillars which is supporting our national economy.In view of the characteristics of real estate development projects,such as large investment amount,long construction cycle,complex procedures,many departments involved,and easy to be affected by the external environment,the risk of real estate development projects is at a high level compared with other industries.Since the outbreak of the novel coronavirus,the business situation of the real estate industry has become increasingly severe.How to maximize the benefits while minimizing the risks,and maintaining healthy development has become the top priority of many real estate enterprises.Therefore,it is urgent to strengthen the risk management of real estate projects.With the acceleration of urbanization process,the development of county real estate industry has ushered in a very broad prospect,but at the same time,county-level real estate projects will face many risks in the development process.Therefore,it is also necessary to study project risk management of county real estate.Based on the theory of risk management,this thesis takes the whole development process of county real estate development projects as the perspective,combined with the specific situation of a real estate development project in F County,and conducts a systematic study on the risk management of real estate development projects.The main research content of this thesis includes the following aspects:First of all,this thesis defines the whole development process of a real estate project,which is divided into four stages: investment decision,preliminary preparation,construction and completion delivery.On this basis,18 risk factors of the project were identified by literature analysis and expert investigation,and the risk evaluation index system was constructed by comparing the risks under different development backgrounds of counties and large and medium-sized cities.Secondly,the risk of a real estate development project in F County was evaluated through the combination of analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation theory.Through determining the influence weight and importance membership degree of various risk factors in each stage,it is concluded that the overall risk level of the project belongs to the general risk,the risk levels of investment decision-making stage,preliminary preparation stage and completion and delivery stage belong to general risks,while the risk levels of construction stage belong to higher risks.Finally,based on the actual situation of a real estate development project in F County,reasonable control measures are formulated for different levels of risk evaluated.In order to improve the risk prevention level of this project,at the same time,it provides some reference for other similar project risk management.This thesis has 8 pictures,23 tables,and 101 references.