Evaluation Of Spatial Allocation Of Primary Education Facilities And Population Development In Pu’er City

Understanding the current status and future supply of educational resources for primary schools is of great significance in proposing targeted facility optimization methods,as the imbalance between resource allocation and demand due to urban expansion and population growth has severely affected the improvement of education quality.Based on the core idea of "evaluation-prediction-adjustment",this thesis summarizes and summarizes the existing research on the balanced allocation of educational resources at home and abroad,establishes a current evaluation system,and uses Ripley’s K function and two-step mobile search method to sort out the resource allocation of primary education facilities in Pu’er City.Based on the historical data trend,the spatial distribution of the long-term school-age population is predicted,the adaptation analysis of the long-term population development and the existing facilities is carried out,the K-means clustering method is used to qualitatively and quantitatively study and classify the evaluation content,and finally a targeted optimization and guidance strategy is proposed.Through analysis and research,the following four conclusions are drawn:(1)the total population of Pu’er City is very different,and primary school facilities are distributed in clusters,forming four obvious concentration areas;The supply of urban primary schools is insufficient,the capacity of village-level primary schools is surplus,the polarization is serious,and the townships with low accessibility values are obviously scattered at the edge of the study area.(2)Using a variety of methods to predict the population demand,the population of primary schools in Pu’er City in the long term(2035)will be about 205,500,and the overall demand for land will show a low trend and increase.(3)The long-term supply and demand relationship of primary education resources in each township showed a mixed distribution pattern,including 4 townships with long-term primary education facilities resource supply to be improved,61 with service saturation,7 with excess resources,2 with key improvement and 29 with development potential.(4)In addition to historical and cultural factors,regional transportation accessibility,geographical conditions,economic development,population size and land resources all have significant positive impacts on the allocation of primary education resources.