Study On Agricultural Carbon Emission Reduction Path In Xinjiang

Carbon emissions are one of the core indicators to characterize the carrying capacity of the environment,and the carbon emissions generated in China’s agricultural production process account for about 20% of the national carbon emissions,and the environmental pollution and ecological damage caused by agricultural carbon emissions are gradually exposing their harmfulness.With Xinjiang’s population growth and economic and social development,the rapid development of agriculture has also brought about a continuous increase in carbon emissions,and the continuous rise of agricultural carbon emissions has made Xinjiang face greater pressure and challenges in carbon emission reduction.In order to promote the green and sustainable development of Xinjiang’s agriculture in the new era and reduce agricultural carbon emissions,it is necessary to find a carbon emission reduction path to improve the carbon emission efficiency of Xinjiang’s agriculture and help achieve the dual carbon goals.Based on the relevant data of agricultural carbon emissions in Xinjiang and its 14 prefectures and cities from 2010 to 2020,this thesis uses the super-efficient SBM model,extended Kaya identity and LMDI decomposition method to calculate and analyze the current status,temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and driving factors of agricultural carbon emissions and carbon emission efficiency in Xinjiang and its 14 prefectures and cities,comb Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emission reduction policies,and analyze the agricultural carbon emission reduction path in Xinjiang.The results show that:(1)Overall,Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions showed a steady growth trend from 2010 to 2020;From the perspective of carbon emission intensity,Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emission intensity maintained a steady downward trend during the inspection period.The agricultural carbon emissions of various prefectures in Xinjiang are increasing and are also concentrating in some areas,and the agricultural carbon emission intensity of the 14 prefectures in Xinjiang has generally shown a downward trend,but there are large internal differences.Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon accumulation showed a clear upward trend,and forestry carbon sinks developed rapidly.(2)Overall,from 2010 to 2020,Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emission efficiency showed a fluctuating downward trend,and the ML index was greater than 1 in most years,and the agricultural carbon emission efficiency was greatly improved.In addition,the carbon emission efficiency of agriculture varies greatly among various states in Xinjiang.(3)The decomposition results show that agricultural production efficiency has obvious negative effects on Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions,and agricultural industrial structure factors contribute to the improvement of Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions,but the effect is not obvious,the agricultural economic level has a significant growth effect on Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions,and the sown area has a very significant growth effect on Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions.On this basis,the path of Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emission reduction is proposed: from transforming the development mode to green and low-carbon transformation of agriculture;Adjust the agricultural industrial structure and optimize the proportion of variety production;Innovate low-carbon agricultural technologies and build a technology system for emission reduction;Increase the function of agricultural carbon sink and realize multiple paths for emission reduction;Participate in the carbon emission trading market,share the dividends of the ecological system,etc.,and conduct analysis of Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emission reduction path.