Evaluation And Prediction Of Carbon Emission Control Benefits Of Automobile Manufacturing Industry

As one of the indispensable economic supports of China’s manufacturing industry,automobile manufacturing industry has brought great pressure to the environment while promoting the economic development of manufacturing industry.In the process of production,manufacture and use of automobiles,resources are consumed and a large number of pollutants are produced.The carbon dioxide contained in the large amount of tail gas emitted by automobiles is the main culprit of greenhouse effect.With the improvement of people’s living standards,the demand for automobiles will only continue to increase.Therefore,the study on the carbon emission governance benefits of this industry is equivalent to the study on the governance of major carbon emission source industries.The sixth phase of the national vehicle pollutant emission standards have come,all kinds of pollutant emission standards are increasingly strict.The energy-saving and emission reduction policies and measures implemented for the automobile manufacturing industry must be more effective,which is also the responsibility of the current hot industry of carbon emission reduction.This paper is committed to the construction of carbon emission governance benefit evaluation system,from the financial benefits and non-financial benefits to develop a total of nine indicators involving financial benefits,scientific and technological benefits,ecological benefits three dimensions,based on the historical data using deviation maximization and GM(1,1)gray prediction model to evaluate and predict the automotive industry carbon emission reduction.Based on the theoretical perspective of sustainable development,this paper conducts an empirical study on the benefits of carbon emission control in the automobile manufacturing industry,and obtains the results and shortcomings of the overall benefits and the benefits of the three aspects respectively.Then,Q Group,a representative enterprise,was selected for research and analysis.Based on the specific measures taken in terms of carbon emission reduction,the parts that need to be optimized and improved were judged based on the analysis results,paving the way for carbon emission reduction in the automobile manufacturing industry.In the empirical research part,this paper studies the carbon emission reduction benefits of the automobile manufacturing industry from 2012 to 2018,explores the excellent financial and non-financial benefits of carbon emission governance in the automobile manufacturing industry,forecasts its comprehensive benefits,and understands its future development direction.In terms of case analysis,by analyzing the changing trend of the carbon emission governance benefits of Q Group,the shortcomings and redeeming points of the three aspects of finance,science and technology and ecology in the process of carbon emission reduction were judged.Based on the growth rate of the evaluation value of the carbon emission management benefit of Q Group from 2012 to 2018,the change trend of the carbon emission reduction benefit in the future is predicted to discuss the areas that need to be strengthened and improved.Through the combination of empirical research and case analysis,this paper gradually explores the advantages and disadvantages of carbon emission governance benefits in the aspects of finance,science and technology,and ecology from a macro to micro perspective,so as to provide strong support for automobile manufacturing enterprises to actively carry out carbon emission reduction work in the future.Finally,five feasible suggestions are put forward from the perspectives of government and enterprises.