| In 2019,China’s floating population reached 236 million.The huge floating population has injected vitality into urban development and geeatly promoted the urbanization process in China.China is in a critical period of in-depth development of new urbanization now.The long-term residence intention of floating population is considered to be a significant indicator to measure the level of local urbanization development and urban integration.Therefore,we should accurately know the floating population of urban long-term residence intention and its determinants.This paper is mainly based on the data of the 2017 National Floating Population monitoring survey and the 2018 Urban Statistical Yearbook.Firstly,we make a descriptive analysis on the basic characteristics of the floating population and the distribution of their long-term residence intention,and the differences of their long-term residence intention among different regions and groups are analyzed.Secondly,the paper selects indicators from the aspects of economic development,basic education,medical and health care,social security and environmental protection to comprehensively evaluate the supply level of urban basic public services in China using entropy method,and analyzes the relationship between the supply level of urban basic public services and the long-term residence intention.The following main conclusions can be drawn from this paper:First,the floating population had a high desire to stay for a long time,with 46.8% planning to stay for a long time in their destination.There are significant differences in the long-term residence intention of the floating population in different cities,and the long-term residence intention of the floating population is affected by the urban regional variables.According to the intra-group correlation coefficient in the zero model of long-term residence intention,the individual characteristics of the floating population are the main factors that cause the differences in their longterm residence intention,and the urban characteristics also play an important role in the differences.Second,from the urban level,economic development has a certain weakening effect on the longterm residence intention of the floating population,which is mainly manifested in that economic development weakens the influence of employment status and housing conditions on the long-term residence intention of the floating population,and higher urban housing prices and fierce competition for employment reduce the long-term residence intention of the floating population.Third,with the increase of the population covered by basic education resources,the improvement of the medical and health service system and the popularization of social security,the floating population has enjoyed more comprehensive and equal basic public services in the destination areas,thus promoting the long-term residence of the floating population in the destination areas.Finally,according to the results,the paper puts forward the following Suggestions:increasing the employment opportunities and vocational training of the migrant population to improve the income of the floating population,promoting the policy of pursuing education in other places for children who live with them,and strengthening government financial support for compulsory education.And taking into full account the promoting effect of urban basic public service supply on population mobility,expanding the coverage of public service for floating population,improving the social integration degree of the floating population in the city and create favorable conditions for the social integration of the floating population. |