Research On The Effect Of Flood Disaster On Economic Growth In Yanbian

No matter from the consequences of disasters in the world and China,or from the continuous occurrence of flood disasters in Yanbian area.While speeding up economic construction,how can we avoid it to the utmost extent Or Reduce the loss of flood disaster to economic and social development And Damage to the lives and health of the broad masses of the people,Threats And The serious destruction of ecological environment has become an extremely important and urgent practical problem faced by all countries in the world today.Therefore,this paper mainly studies the impact of flood disaster on Yanbian’s economic growth.Firstly,this paper summarizes and analyzes the literature and theories,combs the relationship between flood disaster and economic development,and describes and analyzes the current situation of flood disaster and economic development in Yanbian.The flood disaster in Yanbian was analyzed by empirical research method To economic growth,The influence of Mainly Using Granger causality test,Johansen cointegration analysis,Based on BVAR model Of Impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis were used to test 1986-2019 The dynamic relationship between the flood disaster and economic growth in Yanbian in,and in-depth analysis of how and to what extent the flood disaster in Yanbian affects the economy Growth Have an impact.The main conclusions are as follows:There is a long-term stable cointegration relation ship between flood disaster and economic growth in Yanbian.There is a one-way causal relationship from agricultural production growth rate,timber production growth rate and investment growth rate of water conservancy facilities construction to GDP growth rate,which supports the change of agricultural production growth rate,timber production growth rate and investment growth rate of water conservancy facilities construction is the economy of Yanbian region Change in growth rate reason.The Change of Core Substitution Variables of Flood Disaster in Yanbian Cause Economic Growth in Yanbian Area Rate Change.In the short term,the flood disaster in Yanbian has limited impact on economic growth.Among the three variables of flood disaster that affect economic growth,investment in water conservancy facilities construction has the greatest impact.Agricultural production growth rate,timber output growth rate and investment growth rate of water conservancy facilities construction have positive and negative two-way effects on economic growth rate.In the long run,the impact of the current flood disaster on economic growth will soon weaken and lose its impact;Current Period Although the impact of flood disaster is limited and unsustainable,its destructive power may have a far-reaching impact on Yanbian’s economic growth.Therefore,it is proposed to increase investment in flood control facilities to prevent or reduce floods Negative Influence;Reduce the felling of protective trees in various river basins and strengthen the construction of forest ecological protection;Improve the flood prevention and response mechanism and other countermeasures and suggestions to reduce and prevent disasters and promote Yanbian’s economic growth.