The Research On The Risk Sharing Of Agricultural PPP Project Based On Bargaining Game

Under the background of rapid development of PPP project construction and operation,the PPP project of the agricultural industry has also achieved certain development,and many projects have become demonstration projects of the Ministry of Finance and the National Development and Reform Commission.Different from the general infrastructure PPP project,due to the huge investment amount of agricultural PPP project,long construction period,numerous participants,risk and diversity and suddenness,the identification and sharing of risks has not yet formed a system.Sexual control methods.Therefore,in the agricultural PPP project,how to identify risks and make reasonable sharing between the public and private sectors directly affects the smooth development of the project.This paper firstly learns about the current research on PPP projects by combing a large number of domestic and foreign literatures.Secondly,the related concepts,characteristics,operational mechanism and game theory of PPP are briefly introduced to lay the foundation for the later research.Through the method of literature research,the main bearers of the risk of agricultural PPP projects were clarified.By reading a large amount of literature,a risk sharing checklist was constructed,and the risk of agricultural PPP projects was mainly from macro,medium and micro perspectives according to the characteristics of agricultural PPP projects.Divided into ten categories.The agricultural PPP project risk is divided into shared risk and non-shared risk according to the risk preference coefficient of the main body,namely the public sector and the private sector.For the risk sharing,under the premise of setting the model related assumptions and parameters,the bargaining game model is constructed based on the bidding order and status asymmetry between the government department and the private sector,and the calculation formula is derived.On this basis,introduce a case of a company's breeding PPP project,and issue a questionnaire to the experts.After sorting and analyzing,the relevant parameters are substituted into the model,and the reliability analysis of the questionnaire is made,indicating that the questionnaire is true and effective,and it is obtained in the government and Specific risk sharing between the private sector is weighted and recommendations are made for the reasonable distribution of risk based on the results.