Empirical Study On The Convergence Of Economic Integration And Industrial Structure In Beijing-tianjin-hebei Region

Under the big background of economic globalization,regional economic integration problem is increasingly highlighted,the coordinated development of beijing-tianjin-hebei region planning and similar files have issued,make the level of regional economic integration has changed;Overall consideration of the beijing-tianjin-hebei region economic development and combining the predecessors to the region economy research,it is not hard to find,a certain degree of industrial structure convergence problem exists in the region economic integration in the process of development.Studies the region economic integration level and the relationship between the degree of industrial structure convergence,to enhance the level of regional economic integration,find out is beneficial to the development of the integration of industrial structure convergence degree is very important.Therefore,this paper through theoretical analysis concludes that may exist between the"inverted U" relationship,and respectively by economic integration of the beijing-tianjin-hebei region from 2004 to 2015 levels and development trend of the industrial structure convergence degree analysis as the breakthrough point,through the empirical test for this view.Through the adoption of beijing-tianjin-hebei three provinces and cities in 2004-2015,12 years of panel data structure,calculation and analysis of the economic integration level comprehensive evaluation index,finally obtained the region economic integration level evolution trend.Respectively using the three industrial structure level and industry of manufacturing segment 20 children 12 years of gross domestic product data,it is concluded that the three times industrial structure level and manufacturing industry level degree of industrial structure convergence trends.Finally construct multivariate nonlinear econometric model through trial and error,and the unit root test and cointegration test,can be concluded that the possibility of false regression model does not exist,use Eviews software to linear regression analysis and empirical had "inverted U"relationship between the two.Accordingly,find out the relationship of a turning point,accurately judge the current level of economic integration of the beijing-tianjin-hebei region are in phase and the specific relationship between them,it is concluded that to promote the level of economic integration for specific relations to adapt to the direction of the industrial structure adjustment,and puts forward relevant policy Suggestions,so that in the future a period for the government choose to suit and beijing-tianjin-hebei region with its regional characteristics of the road of industrial structure adjustment,provide decision-making reference for macro-control,etc.