Research On Fluctuation And Regulation Policy Of Livestock Products Price In ZaoZhuang

Agriculture is a basic industry of national economic development,and animal husbandry is an important part of agriculture,which affects the improvement of national living standard.But for now,there are still problems of abnormal price fluctuation and poor product quality in domestic animal husbandry.In order to make a benign development of animal husbandry,this paper is based on the data which is base of the market price of the main livestock products in Zaozhuang city for year 2012 to year 2017,using qualitative and quantitative methods to know the formation and the influencing factors of livestock products price,trying to use the theory and method of economics and statistics to analyze the law of price change,making analysis of policies and measures of the current government's various regulatory price.This paper first studies the price formation of animal husbandry,analyzes the internal and external factors that affect the price change,uses the X12 seasonal adjustment method and constructs the VAR model,and makes an empirical analysis on the price regulation and the influencing factors of the livestock products in Zaozhuang for 2012-2017 years.Finally,it summarizes the domestic livestock and animal husbandry price regulation policy,combining with the foreign first.Based on the experience of regulation and control,suggestions for Zaozhuang's animal husbandry regulation policy are put forward.This study shows that:(1)the price of animal products is derived from the cost and profit plus from the production to the sale,which is determined by the equilibrium of supply and demand in the market.(2)the price fluctuation of animal products shows a periodic characteristic.This paper holds that the price of livestock products in Zaozhuang has a small cycle characteristic of annual cycle in the last 2012-2017 years,and the pork and egg show a large cycle characteristic,specifically,the fluctuation cycle of pork price is about two and a half years(30 months),and the price of eggs fluctuates around the week.The period is about one and a half years(18 months).(3)the spontaneous adjustment of the stock market to the price is limited,so there must be a "visible hand" to regulate the market price of market animal products and maintain the interests of all parties in the stock market.The key to the government regulation market is to stabilize the market supply and improve the mechanism of market price formation.Based on the reality of Zaozhuang,theemphasis can be laid on five points: one is to encourage the large-scale breeding of animal husbandry and raise the technical level of breeding;the two is to strengthen the supervision of the market of livestock products,to set up the industry brand,and three to strengthen the financial supporting system of animal husbandry.Construction should give full play to the guiding role of fiscal policy;four is to carry out the price insurance of animal husbandry products and make the price index;the five is to strengthen the environmental protection work in the animal husbandry market and gradually restore the good ecology.