An Analysis Of Factors Influencing Products Export Growth From China To USA

In recent years,as a result of increasingly closer trade relationship between China and USA,China has become the third largest export market and the largest source of imports to the US A.Although,China's exports to the United States showed an upward trend in general and the optimization of export structure,when external shocks occur,China's export growth to the United States will still be volatile.Why China's exports of goods to the United States will show such obvious fluctuations by the impact of external shocks,what are the factors that affect China's exports of goods to the United states,what are the factors that affect the different sub sectors of products,and how these factors affect the export of products over time.So,how to maintain the stability of growth of products export is a matter of deep concern.The answers to these questions will provide an important basis for the development path of China's products export to the USA.On the basis of combing the domestic and foreign relevant theoretical research,this paper uses the Binary Marginal Model,Constant Market Share Model and random effect panel model as research methods to analyze factors of export growth of China's products in-depth.Firstly,this paper analyzes the factors of products export to the USA,g then analyzes the development status of China's products export to the USA from the view of export scale,export structure.Then,this paper analyzes the direction and dynamics of China's products export to the USA growth by analyzing the UN Comtrade data encoded by HS-64 bits from 2007 to 2015,uses the binary marginal model and the CMS model to study the decomposition of products export growth rate.Then this paper found some China's products export problems.Next,this paper set up a random effect panel model and empirical tests to examine the relationship between China's products export growth rate to the USA and technological innovation,foreign direct investment,comparative advantage of factor and industry scale economic effect.Through the research,we find that the growth path of China's products export to the USA is mainly along the direction of intensive marginalization,intensive margin and scale effect play a major role in China's product export growth to the United States.In the intensive margin of the two components,quantity margin is the dominant reason for the growth that China's exports to USA,that is,China's exports to USA heavily dependent on export volume.The growth effect of the scale effect have greatest contribution,it means that the requirement of import constantly increase in the USA is the major reason for the China's export.technological innovation,foreign direct investment,comparative advantage of factor and industry scale economic effect all have positive effects on the growth of products export to the USA.Finally,on the basis of the conclusion,this paper puts forward some countermeasures to promote the growth of China's products export to the USA.