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A Study On The Chinese Wood-based Panel Export Growth Factors Empirical

Posted on:2016-11-16Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:T T LiFull Text:PDF
GTID:1109330461459723Subject:Forestry Economics and Management
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With the deepening of reform and opening-up, the global flow of factors and industries transfer to China gradually become the processing of forest products in world manufacturing center, is a labor intensive and export of high value-added specialty products deep processing of man-made board industry is developing rapidly. In recent years, the sustained and rapid development of China wood-based panel industry, the wood-based panel enterprises million, more than 250000000 cubic meters of artificial board production value of nearly one trillion yuan, up 58% of global output, has become a world of artificial board production, consumption and import and export trade superpower. However, due to China facing macroeconomic slowdown, shortage of forest resources, the export market concentration is high, the economic environment of western countries and the national trade frictions and other internal and external problems, in recent years, man-made board export trade growth is slowing down trend, in addition, wood-based panel production is take the forest resources as the base, with the environment problem has become the focus of the public interest, the protection of forest resources is growing, but also to the foreign trade of wood-based panel products has brought severe challenges. This paper is based on the classical international trade theory and competitive advantage theory, by using descriptive statistics, comparative analysis and quantitative analysis methods to study the development pattern of the world man-made board as the basic characteristics, China plywood export trade under the background of evolution and export growth, and put forward the optimize the structure of export trade and the adjustment of export strategy, countermeasures and proposals to improve the the competitive advantage Chinese wood-based panel industry, the main research contents and conclusions are as follows:Descriptive statistical analysis of wood-based panels industry in the world, the volume of international trade, the world production of wood-based panel market distribution, and summed up the development trend of international trade of wood-based panels industry in the world from. Based on the analysis of characteristics of the development of wood-based panel industry China on macroeconomic data, using 1992-2013 Chinese plywood export trade, separately from the overall scale, the export trade structure of export products, export market structure, the domestic export area structure four aspects of the basic situation and the evolution of Chinese wood-based panel products export trade for empirical research, and summarize the development trend of international trade of China’s wood-based panel.Using the constant market share model of main influencing factors on its export growth in the overall analysis. Research shows that the main factors affecting the Chinese, plywood exports is export competition effect, scale effect. The competition effect is the dominant force in export growth. The competition effect in different degree restricts the growth of export trade. Therefore, according to the above factors on the export of wood-based panel growth analysis.Empirical Study on the qualitative and quantitative analysis method of Chinese plywood export competitiveness, export products structure, export market structure and other factors. Research shows that:China plywood export country affected by the supply, demand and trade cost of importing country and the arrangement of system factors. The measurement of Trade Gravity Model and panel data model to analyze the influencing factors of artificial board export growth of market structure and export growth competition effects are based on:forest resources difference, spatial distance, have a common boundary, the importing country economies of scale, quantity of labor force, the level of per capita income, preferential trade agreement.Curve fitting the overall perspective of the trade gravity model and wood-based products export total export exports of wood-based panel products export Chinese samples based on the market, total exports to the world and China wood-based panel products has carried on the forecast analysis. Research shows that:the next few years China wood-based panel products for the global total exports will in the world economy, development status, changes of forest resources, the level of per capita income of RMB rise (depreciation) value of influence factors, increased in different degree.Based on the above research, to promote the healthy development of the Chinese wood-based panels industry export trade, to promote Chinese wood-based panesl industry has been a steady rise in export trade, must to meet international market demand, boosting green economic development; To accelerate the development of man-made board export intensive and sustainable growth; Optimize the structure of export products, implement the strategy of market diversification; Expand exports, dissolve the crisis of excess production capacity of the overall competitive advantage as the core, perfect the policies and regulations, to evade the green trade barriers to improve international competitiveness, man-made board export radically reduce the risk of export trade, export growth stable man-made board.
Keywords/Search Tags:wood-based panel exports, export growth factors, the constant market share model, gravity model, potential prediction
PDF Full Text Request
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