A Study On The Impact Of China's Labor Age Population Change On Export Commodity Structure

For a long time,China's export commodity structure to labor-intensive products as the leading,mainly due to China's comparative advantages in labor resources.But in recent years,China has the problem of labor shortage,labor-intensive industries,the comparative advantage of decline.At the same time,with advances in technology,still in the labor-intensive products export-oriented structure,the proportion of technology-intensive products increased,and gradually form a new export structure,but labor-intensive products still have an international competitive advantage.The change of labor age population affects China's export comparative advantage,which will have an important impact on China's export commodity structure.In this paper,the combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis,combined with empirical research and normative research,using literature research,statistical description,exponential analysis and regression analysis of the full text of the analysis.The article consists of five parts,the first part is the introduction,mainly through the literature research method to explain the impact of labor-age population changes on the structure of export commodities at home and abroad research status and theoretical basis.The second part elaborates the mechanism of the influence of the labor age population on the export commodity structure.The third part analyzes the present situation and future development of China's working-age population change trend,according to the SITC standard,the processing degree and the density of the elements are different,the present situation of the export commodity structure is analyzed in detail,and the characteristics of the export commodity structure are analyzed by the exponential analysis method.The fourth part is the empirical analysis of the impact of China's working age population on export commodity structure.This part uses the regression analysis method,selects the relevant index for 1995-2015,constructs the influence model of China's labor-age population change on the export commodity structure.On the basis of normative analysis and empirical analysis,the fifth part puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions on the impact of the change of labor age population on the structure of export commodities.Through research,China's labor-age population began to show a downward trend since 2011;the proportion of labor-intensive products exports decline,the proportion of capital-intensive technology exports continue to rise,which will China's export commodity structure Change has a significant impact.At the same time,the decrease of the number of working-age population,the improvement of the working age population,the increase of R&D expenditure and the increase of foreign investment China will optimize the export of goods to produce a positive role in promoting.