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The Effect Of Technological Progress On China’s Regional Carbon Emissions

Posted on:2019-10-06Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X ChengFull Text:PDF
GTID:2381330566973027Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Since the industrial revolution,the burning of fossil fuels has resulted in a large amount of greenhouse gases being emitted into the environment,causing global temperature to rise.Therefore,the concept of a "low-carbon economy" with both environmental and economic benefits was born,and in order to achieve green and low-carbon economic growth,technological advances were crucial.As a major country with a sense of responsibility,China also taking measures to address climate change actively.But due to the vast region,there is a disparity in the economic level of the region.Therefore,it is true that the control of carbon emissions has to be made in the region,and it is possible to make a specific case for the government to make a targeted reduction policy in the region,so that we can achieve our emissions reduction targets.In this paper,technological progress is the main object of discussion.Firstly,the relevant concepts and theories of carbon emission and technological progress are reviewed.Secondly,based on the IPCC method to measure the national overall and eastern,central and western three areas of carbon dioxide emissions,and with population and GDP respectively as weights to calculate the carbon emissions Theil index,measure and decompose the carbon structural differences;Thirdly,the technical progress is characterized by the total factor productivity of the DEA-Malmquist index method,and the technical progress is divided into two categories: " Frontier " and " Following ",and the distribution status is explored.Finally,using the developed STIRPAT model and dynamic panel data model,we explore the effectiveness of technological progress on carbon emission and carry out the comparison of different regions.On this basis,we propose a targeted mitigation strategy.It is found that(1)"Frontier" technology is spread more and more in developed regions with booming economy,while "Following" technology is in all regions.(2)In terms of carbon emissions,China’s overall carbon emissions continue to rise.Among them,the eastern region has the most carbon emission,and the central region has been overtaken by the west.The carbon intensity changes in the three regions showed a downward trend.The carbon intensity of the eastern provinces was the smallest,indicating that the economic development pattern in the eastern part of the region gradually shifted to the green intensive type.In terms of regional carbon emissions,the regional differences in the carbon intensity of most years are larger than the regional differences in carbon emissions per capital,indicating the non-equilibrium of the carbon distribution,and the carbon intensity needs to be more focused on the low-carbon policy.At the same time,the differences in the eastern,central and western regions are the main reasons for the expansion of China’s carbon emission.(3)Technological progress can curb carbon emission,and the "Frontier" technology is the main driving force of carbon emission reduction.There is a "path dependence" on carbon emissions.The factors that influence the increase in carbon emissions include population growth,GDP,energy consumption structure and industrial structure.Different regional technological progress has different impacts on carbon emission."Frontier" technology only has significant inhibitory effect in the eastern region,and the effect of "Following" technology is only significant in the western region.Therefore,the paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures from two aspects: regional and macro.
Keywords/Search Tags:Carbon emission, Technical progress, STIRPAT model, Dynamic panel
PDF Full Text Request
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