Analysisthe Fluctuationsof Non-ferrous Metal Price

In the housing construction project,the material cost accounts for about 60%-70% of the project cost,and the material purchase cost is reduced by 10%,which will directly lead to a 6%-7% reduction in the construction cost of the project.Therefore,the material cost is in the project cost.Control is very important.Copper conductors and aluminum alloys are the main building and installation materials.For example,in glass curtain walls,aluminum profiles and steel materials account for most of the material costs.As copper wire,aluminum alloy raw materials,copper,aluminum prices fluctuate violently,the lowest price of copper is about 10,000 yuan / ton,the highest price of 80,000 yuan / ton,the lowest price of aluminum is 8,000 yuan / ton,the highest price of 30000 yuan Around / ton,resulting in copper wire,aluminum alloy and other construction and installation materials must fluctuate with the fluctuation of raw materials.Therefore,it is of great practical significance to study the law of price fluctuation of raw materials copper and aluminum for reducing project cost.Traditional methods for studying commodity prices such as copper and aluminum often use fundamental analysis methods to study the influencing factors and supply-demand relationship of each commodity.However,in fact,although traditional methods have no theoretical problems,the actual results are often unsatisfactory.On the basis of traditional research methods,this paper explores a “horizontal” research method,which is to study and analyze copper,aluminum,zinc,and lead with the same fluctuating characteristics,and to find out a new research product price.method.This is an important innovation in this paper.This article first analyzes and studies the fluctuation factors of nonferrous metal prices.Based on this analysis,it uses graph analysis,color analysis,deviation analysis and other methods to verify and effectively combine each other.When the results of the analysis tend to be consistent,it indicates that the analysis results are relatively accurate,combined with the macroeconomic situation of the market at that time and the market trend to forecast the future trend of non-ferrous metals prices.This article mainly takes the four kinds of copper,aluminum,zinc,and lead in the non-ferrous metals with uniform fluctuation characteristics as the representative,and analyzes the mutual influence relationship between the influencing factors and their prices one by one.If these factors have an impact on metal prices,study their mechanism of action and degree of impact,and then conduct a single factor analysis on the non-ferrous metal impact factors.Finally,collect and integrate nonferrous metals copper,aluminum,zinc,and lead prices and apply color analysis methods.Accumulated statistics of cumulative increases and decreases and accumulated times.Based on the basic analytical methods,the relevant research conclusions are compared with the results of the color analysis.This provides an effective and scientific reference for the study of non-ferrous metal price fluctuations.In terms of research,some macro variables,such as industrial production added value,U.S.dollar index,spot price index,etc.,were introduced.Technical analysis was performed on these quantitative data and non-ferrous metal price fluctuations.Finally,the analysis of the influencing factors of non-ferrous metal prices was conducted in this paper.When most of the influencing factors tend to be consistent,it shows that the trend of prices is likely to tend to be consistent.The research results of this paper have very important practical significance for discovering the price fluctuations of copper and aluminum,reducing the procurement cost of copper wires and aluminum alloys,and reducing the engineering cost.