Forcast Of Scale Of Industrial Parks Enterprise Invested

With regional economic development,the development and construction of industrial parks has attached great importance by local governments.Industrial parks serve as not only the main carriers of opening up,attaching investment and management innovation,but also the important platforms of developing high-tech industry,promoting industrial agglomeration and integrating upstream and downstream industries,also the important boosters for regional economic development.While the healthy development of industrial parks,there are still some problems need to be solved.Especially the problem on blind construction lacking of research on the market demand before the construction of some industrial parks results in the high park vacancy rate and low land output intensity,which leads to the cost increasing and the profitability decreasing of the enterprises and the land wasting phenomena.In addition,industrial parks also have the problems of fuzzy target customers,chaotic parks planning and the goal of attaching investment only to achieve sales performance.Generally,the reason of these problems can be attributed to the deviation from the spirit of promoting industrial agglomeration,integrating industrial chain resources and pushing forward industrial development.The development of industrial parks is regarded as the general development of the real estate lacking of the overall views.Aiming at the above problems,this paper studies on forecasting industrial parks construction scale from macro aspect.Through the prediction of the scale of industrial parks construction it determines the customer and market demand and provides the basis to improve the industrial parks planning and layout and to integrate industrial chains.On the basis of research status at home and abroad,this paper aims to predicting the proper industrial parks scale to meet market demands by using the widely used prediction tools as time series model,grey prediction model and combination forecasting model and adopting the qualitative and quantitative methods theoretically.While,the whole research process is tightly combined with the L Company's own development philosophy and the situation of local social and economic resources.Generally,this paper provides a feasible prediction method to determine the scale of future industrial parks constructing and presents the scientific and objective basic data on the developing and planning of industrial parks,so that industrial parks development and layout can be more reasonable and promote industrial agglomeration and boost industrial development.