| In the middle and late 80 s of the last century,the industrialization of agriculture developed preliminarily,and the evolution of the relations of production was more suitable for the development of agricultural productivity in china.Under the catalysis of agricultural industrialization,China’s traditional agriculture has developed from a closed to an open type,and contracted from household to large-scale and integrated operation,and many problems of agricultural economy have been effectively solved.As a big agricultural province in Central China,Anhui has weak agricultural infrastructure,a relatively low level of specialization,industrialization and scale,and There is also imbalance in the development of agricultural industrialization in different regions.Therefore,this paper discusses the relationship between agricultural industrialization and farmers’ income in Anhui province.First of all,this paper combs and analyzes the relevant literature at home and abroad,and provides the basis and ideas for the study of this article.The second chapter discusses the theory of the impact of agricultural industrialization on the income of farmers.The third chapter first estimates the level of agricultural industrialization in Anhui Province,analyzes the overall development level of Anhui province’s agricultural industrialization and the difference between various cities,and then analyzes the periodicity,constitutive property and regional differences of the income of farmers in Anhui province.finally analyzes the linkage between the two.The fourth chapter uses the panel data from 2000 to 2015 in Anhui province to do empirical analysis on the impact of agricultural industrialization on the income of farmers.The fifth chapter summarizes the above conclusions and puts forward relevant policy recommendations.The main conclusion: First,the overall level of agricultural industrialization in Anhui province is rising,but there are differences between different cities and areas;while the income of farmers is increasing,the income structure has also changed greatly;the location entropy of agricultural industrialization in the south and north of Anhui shows two different states.Second,from the variable coefficient model,the estimation results can be seen: Agricultural industrialization has a significant positive effect on the income of farmers,but there is a big difference among the various cities,and the expenditure of agriculture,forestry and water has a positive effect on the income of farmers.and the expenditure of agriculture,forestry and water has a positive effect on the income of farmers.From the variable intercept regression model established in different regions the results can be known: agricultural industrialization and the expenditure of agriculture,forestry and water affairs all have significant positive effects on the income of farmers.The industrialization of agriculture in the north of Anhui has a greater effect on Farmers’ income.The influence of agriculture,forestry and water affairs on the income of farmers in the south of Anhui is stronger than that in the north of Anhui.Third,From the impulse response and variance decomposition analysis of PVAR model,we can see that the agricultural industrialization is conducive to raising farmers’ wage income,farmers’ household income and farmers’ wage income ratio.With the extension of the forecast period,the agricultural industrialization contribution will increase and reach a limit.Compared with the contribution of the household income,the industrialization of agriculture contributes more to farmers’ wage income and the proportion of wage income,it shows that agricultural industrialization plays an important role in optimizing the income structure of farmers. |
