The Empirical Study Of How Guangdong's Transport Infrastructure Influence Economic Based On Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Model

The relationship between transportation infrastructure and economic development is one of the hot spot of economist's research,the article adopts 21 regions of Guangdong province from 2005 to 2014,the panel data of ten years,to study how transportation infrastructure affect its economic growth.Based on the analysis of transport infrastructure on mechanism based on the influence of economic growth,At first,this paper use the exploratory space analysis method to research spatial pattern and spatial correlation of transportation infrastructure and economic development in Guangdong province,Global Moran index I statistics research variables,per capita GDP of guangdong province and the transportation infrastructure,whether there is a spatial correlation,Combining with Moran I scatter plot,Observing whether there exists obvious spatial dependence of 21 region of Guangdong province in its economic development.Then considering the regional potential impact,adopting Spatial Durbin Model to analyze the difference of transportation infrastructure spillover effects in different areas of Guangdong province.Secondly the essay taking time lag effect into the model,adopting Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Model to analyze spatial spillover effects of the transport infrastructure in Guangdong province.Finally,the comprehensive of time rolling change and the potential impact of region to provide suggestions to transport infrastructure investment in Guangdong province.