China has large number of ancient towns with rich historical heritage.According to statistics,there are about 5 thousand ancient towns with thousands of years of history,and 655 national historical and cultural city,town,and village published by the State Ministry of Housing and the Cultural Relics Bureau.The other historical and cultural towns published by the local government is a large number.Part of the ancient towns with distinctive cultural characteristics and geographical advantages seize the times opportunities to develop the tourism industry,and achieve a comprehensive protection of resources and economic development.But to more ancient towns,because of geographical location occlusion,the concept of consciousness and other reasons behind,although the cultural heritage resources are relatively rich,but the economic development is backward.These ancient towns of the local government are in urgent need of industrial restructuring,to stimulate the economic vitality of the town.And tourism development has become the main way to update the development of ancient towns.Therefore,the object of this study is the ancient town that these historical forms are more complete,with great historical value and revolutionary significance,but the economic development is backward,hoping to realize the industrial transformation through the form of tourism development,to stimulate the economic vitality.At present,China’s ancient town tourism has flourished in many places.But there have been many problems in the process of tourism development,such as the lack of scientific tourism guidance of ancient towns,the serious phenomenon of commercialization and homogenization,the seriously damaged cultural heritage and ecological resources and so on.But scholars focused on qualitative analysis and static description of the research,lack of quantitative analysis and dynamic analysis.Therefore,this paper aims to use the method of quantitative and dynamic analysis to study the tourism development of ancient towns and explore the relationship between the protection of ancient towns and tourism development,which has certain theoretical and practical significance.Based on the analysis of the present situation of tourism development in ancient towns of China,and on the basis of domestic and foreign scholars’ research on tourism development in ancient towns,this paper focuses on how to deal with the relationship between tourism development and protection of cultural heritage,to achieve the ancient town of cultural value and economic development of the dual.Based on this,this paper uses the method of system dynamics to combine the qualitative analysis with the quantitative analysis to identify the elements of the ancient town tourism development system and define the boundary of the system.The ancient town tourism development system is divided into demand subsystem,gravitational subsystem,media subsystem and support subsystem.The dynamic model of tourism development system in ancient towns is constructed,and the dynamic relationship between the various elements in the system is studied,and the coordination and evolution of the protection and development of ancient towns is discussed.This paper takes the tourism development of Linhai ancient city as an example to carry on the empirical research.The dynamic model of tourism development system in Linhai ancient city was established.The model chooses the variable "ancient city protection degree" as the detection index to reflect the effect of protection in tourism development,and chooses the variables "tourist quantity" and "tourism income" to reflect the attractiveness and economic benefit of tourism development.By changing the value of each decision variable and simulating the influence of each variable on the tourism development system,the paper respectively discusses the development trend of the protection degree,the number of tourists and tourism income in the 6 program,which are changing the government supervision coefficient,changing the investment of the protection fund,changing the tourism propaganda investment,changing the investment of the tourism facilities and service,changing the per capita tourism consumption and changing the capital.Based on the simulation results,the paper analyses factors on the impact of Linhai tourism development system,and targeted to propose the feasibility of tourism development,realizing the sustainable development of tourism in Linhai. |