The Research Of China's Export Trade Potential To The Other BRICS Countries

After the reform and opening up,with the continuous adjustment of domestic industrial structure and the advancement of global economic integration, China's foreign trade under the impetus of the dual forces has developed rapidly,and showed a strong momentum of development. But currently restrict the further development of China's foreign trade still many factors, such as excessive concentration of China's foreign trade market in developed countries, the product concentration in the processing of foreign trade products, etc., so in order to break through the current trade, China should take attention to the strong development potential in emerging economies, but for the BRICS countries is one of the major emerging economies naturally become the main target of the development of foreign trade in our country. Plus, since the BRICS countries trade cooperation in multiple fields in China are carried out in cooperation with the other BRICS countries, trade between each other is increasingly close, the other BRICS countries gradually became one of China's major trading partners. Therefore, on this basis, the measure of BRICS countries export competitiveness and potential trade in China, and then according to the results of the analysis for China for the BRICS countries export competitiveness and expand export trade potential to provide policy advice, for our country and other emerging economies, it has reference significance to collaborate,and for our country to implement trade diversification, pioneering space has the extremely important practical significance.This paper is divided into six parts. The first part is the introduction, the research of this paper writing background, ideas and research methods are introduced. Then, the second part of the thesis involves the comparative advantage theory and factor endowment theory, competitive advantage theory and national competition theory has carried on the simple introduction. The third part from two aspects of amount and structure of China's exports to other BRICS trade current situation was analyzed, and potential export competitiveness and lay the foundation for later analysis. The fourth part,based on the theoretical basis for the second part, using the trade competitiveness index(TC) and revealed comparative advantage index (RCA) on the trade competitiveness of Chinese exports to the BRICS, and its change trend are analyzed. The fifth part the economies of scale, geographic distance, population scale, the degree of opening to the outside world as well as the selection of virtual variables factors such as trade gravity model, these factors how to affect on the BRICS goods Chinese export trade was analyzed, and then according to the result of regression analysis on the potential of Chinese exports to the BRICS is calculated. According to the above theory and empirical analysis result, put forward the policy Suggestions to promote the China for the BRICS countries export trade.