The Design And Implementation Of Rural “hollow” Simulation System Based On Farmer Behavior

Rural "hollowing" is a bad process in the transformation of urban and rural development process in rural regional system.Chinese rural hollowing problem has become the main impediment of optimizing allocation of urban and rural land use and coordinating urban and rural development.The process of rural hollowing is the result of complex factors including nature,society,economy,policy,technology and so on.At home and abroad,the rural hollowing researchers mainly focus on the mechanism of formation and the connection of phenomenon,but neglect the relationship between farmer active decision and rural "hollowing".This agent is introduced in this thesis and a farmer is abstracted as an agent,which can make the behavior of micro-level farmers into the research framework of the already exist hollowing development mechanism.The thesis studied the farmer agent dynamic adaptation of the natural environment,social and other factors' change,and analyzing the different hollowing evolution.The thesis make a macroscopic forecast of rural "hollowing" evolution,and provide optimized decision support for rural land use management.The following specific aspects are included in the research:First of all,according to the formation mechanism of rural "hollowing",the rural"hollowing" evolve model and farmer agent model based on farmer's behavior are established in this thesis.Secondly,the short comings and deficiencies of the multiple factors comprehensive evaluation method is analyzed in this thesis,based the influence factors in the process of rural hollowing,then the liner weighted combination method is chosen as the agent's decision making method.Finally,according to the rural "hollowing" evolution model and the agent model,simulate system which is based on farmer Agent's rural "hollowing" can be realized.The influence of factors in different stages in the process of rural "hollowing" is analyzed in this thesis and simulate system is used to simulate the behavior of farmers in microscopic,then present a variety situation on the macro.