Research On Population Size Of Small Towns Under The New Urbanization Background

Small towns are not only the bridge and the link of communication between urban and rural, and implement the strategy of sustainable development important space, with the continuous improvement of scientific and technological progress and social productivity, small towns also greatly accelerate the development process, but at the same time, ecological destruction and the waste of resources, environmental pollution, population and other issues are also increasingly prominent, serious impact on the development of small cities and towns, in this situation, must seek a severe social economy and resource environment coordinated sustainable development path.The development of urbanization, for China's economic and social progress, and made important contribution to the people's living standards improve, to achieve the historic leap from having only adequate food and clothing to the well-off people's life, also boosted China's economic aggregate ranked the second historic leap, promote the development of social productivity. Work in the new urbanization accelerating stage of today, much attention has been paid to the development of small towns. Scientific and reasonable forecast population scale of small towns is the important problem of urban development in the process of urbanization is one of the important work in the design of overall planning of small towns, played a key role on resource configuration in the small towns.Population forecast methods in this paper, by analyzing a variety of small towns, the research of its main prediction principle, scope of application, application stage, the use object of different prediction methods. Combined with population, resources, environment, coordinated development and moderate population theory, discusses the influence of the small towns population growth mechanism, this paper puts forward a method in the basic principles of choice.Paper also combining research field of Mianyang Xiping town population forecast of empirical research. In terms of population, economy, natural resources on the basis of the investigation, using the method of comprehensive growth, economic level and environmental capacity method respectively to Xiping town population prediction, and the prediction precision of the ideal. Thus further discusses the reasonable scientific choice of small towns population scale prediction methods. To enhance the urban population scale prediction methods of practicality.