Impacts Of Tropical Cyclone Disasters On Employment

With global warming, the tropical cyclone disasters increasingly frequent and deepening, China is one of the most serious countries affected by the cyclone A large population, abundant labor resources is China's basic national conditions, the development of labor-intensive industry is a big advantage in China Scholars began to gradually by the assets of the economy of the impact of natural disasters, such as the effects of physical capital transfer to the labor market and the influence of the human capital such as the physical and mental health evaluation. However, there are two problems, the conclusions of foreign researches are inconsistently and there is little empirical research in China.In view of this, this article mainly revolves the above two problems discussed in this paper. First, by collecting previous studies and using Meta regression analysis,this paper conducts a quantitative analysis to analyze the impacts of tropical cyclones on the employment and remuneration from five aspects, namely the industry dimension, income dimension, regional dimension, time dimension and intensity of tropical cyclones, and identify the directions and intensities of impacts of tropical cyclones on the labor markets in every dimension. The results show that: (1) the effect of tropical cyclone disasters on primary industry income is relatively intense.In other words, primary industry income suffered severe damage, while the employments of secondary industry and tertiary industry have been changed a lot.And the second industry employment change is greater than the tertiary industry. (2)The effect of tropical cyclone disasters on labor remuneration of the developed countries is positive and weak. (3) Short term impact of tropical cyclones on employment is negative and larger, while medium and long term impacts are positive and reductive. Thus, the impacts of tropical cyclones on employment will gradually be restored through recovery and reconstruction activities. (4) Disasters promote employment rate of low-income groups, but destroy their income. In addition,employment changes of middle-income and high-income groups caused by tropical cyclones disasters are relatively flat. Therefore, it is known that the low income people are more vulnerable in the face of tropical cyclone disasters, and the impacts of disasters on middle-income and high-income groups are small. (5) The higher wind speed of tropical cyclones the greater impact on employment. Finally, this paper analyzes the causes of the above phenomena and provides suggestions on how to carry out post-disaster recovery and reconstruction. This paper is a beneficial complement to the research of environmental disasters affecting employment and conclusions can provide decision-making references for disasters emergency managements and improvements of labor market.Second, by collecting quarterly panel data of Guangdong province from 2009 to 2014 and using generalized difference-in-difference method, this paper analyzes the impacts of typhoons on employment from the general effect, regional effect, intensity effect and time effect respectively. In addition, comparative analysis is carried out with similar studies from developed countries. The results show that: (6) the effect of typhoons on employments is insignificant, but per capita labor remuneration falls 5.15% due to high-strength typhoon; (7) the effects of typhoon on labor remuneration presents cyclical characteristics and the lingering effects of typhoon take four quarters for a cycle, the negative impact in the current period, followed by two periods of positive adjustment and the final phase of the recovery to pre-disaster levels; (8) studies suggest that the main reasons of differences between China and other studies are the characteristics of the labor market in terms of supply, demand,pay structure, labor mobility and so on.Last, based on the research conclusions, this research puts forward relevant policy suggestions, which is the beneficial supplement of natural disasters affect the employment research, on the one hand, enrich the relevant theory, on the other hand,the conclusion can provide disaster emergency management and the improvement of the labor market to provide the reference.