| Since the Mid-and-late1980 s, a large number of rural surplus labors continue to flow into the city. However, Land circulation has been constrained by the institution,and it does not match the degree of labor mobility. The Household Contract Responsibility System objectively resulted in small-scale and Land-fragmented agriculture business model. Under the situation of lacking a sound mechanism of rural land circulation, this could hinder the adoption of modern agricultural technology and influence the continually improvement of agricultural productivity. Accoding to the induced agricultural technological selection theory,the relative scarcity of the two elements of the land and the labor determines the choice of agricultural technology.Yifu Lin(1991) validated the hypothesis of induced agricultural technological selection while the the land factor and the labor factor of market exchange was prohibited based on the data which includes the period of the China’s planned economy and the reform and transformation.The main research problem of this paper is to verify that whether induced agricultural technological selection theory hypothesis still proves right under the condition of imperfect land market.This paper collects the agricultural data of 30 provinces and cities which combines the national land circulation situation with situation of labor transfer and agricultural technology adoption, and analyzes the given situation of the land and the labor.The empirical analysis of the paper bases on the induced agricultural technological selection theory and the farmer’s behavior theory.The paper draws lessons from a classic literature on the choice of agricultural technology by Yifu Lin.This paper establishes Four empirical model, and uses the fixed effects regression econometric analysis to test the effects on agricultural technology selection which use the variables including relative scarcity of land and labor, agricultural income, nonagricultural income, education level and variable.The main research conclusions of this paper: first, the empirical results of landsaving technology(fertilizer) adoption conform to the hypothesis of induced agricultural technological selection theory; second, empirical results of labor-saving technology(machinery) adoption do not fully comply with the hypothesis of induced agricultural technological selection theory; third, agricultural income increase has a promoting effect on the adoption of these two kinds of technology, however, the nonagricultural income increase has negative effect; this indicates that the currentprevalent part-time farming state in rural is against the development of agricultural technology; fourth, education level has positive and negative influence on technology adoption. Our empirical results show that the education level has negative influence on mechanical technology, and it has a positive impact on fertilizer technology adoption. We think that this is due to the difference in the characteristics of two technologies.Finally, combined with the empirical results, the paper gives some policy suggestions. In addition, we also point out the deficiency of the paper and the vision of the future. |
