Design And Implementation Of City Economical Operation Analysis And Prediction System

With the further deepening development of the reform and opening-up,and theexpand at home and abroad unified market,integration of the world economy will tendgradually to the integrated development.Under the tide of market economy in theworld, a region of economy will be impacted from all aspectsof internal andexternal,it is very impojrtant to analysis,evaluate, summrize experiences and lessonsand predict the future correctly that we can get the opportunity to seize theopportunities of an area,im-prove the economic strength and market competitiveness,adapt to the future economic development.we can stand in the forest of the worldeconomy.Including analysis of the regional economy and regional economic operationanalysis and forecasting. According to the characteristics of city economic operationanalysis,city economic operation analysis include basic trend analysis, compositionanalysis, ranking analysis, and comparative analysis and correlation analysis based onregression model, target tracking analysis based on a simple prediction model.Inregard of economic performance forecast,According to economy’s strong "season"characteristic,We used autoregressive and moving average model to predict the cityeconomy’s future conditions.The application systems including analysis andprediction, will provide detailed and reliable analysis and data for regional economicoperation department,grasp the future trend of the economy.achieve economicoperation management and policy-making effectively.This system is an application software system dynamic for economic analysis andforecasting,and it’s a fusion of the mathematical statistics, econometrics, computerdatabase technology, network programming technology, multi-disciplinaryknowledge.Through monitoring analysis forecast of macroeconomic performance,provide database systems support for economic information resourcesmanagement,and provide technical support for the macroeconomic policy-making.