| In recent years, the intelligent forecasting and analysis model of oil and gas production and early warning management system, more and more attention, especially oilfield field. At home and abroad has been conducted on the oilfield digitization, intelligent building case study analysis found that the production of oil and gas prediction model of the building is one of the most important content, can build accurate and applicable to field prediction model system determines the prospect of the application of the whole system. As oil and gas field production comprehensive early warning index system to improve the efficient methods for field management, in recent years more and more fields began to devote a lot of resources to research and development of the system. Therefore, for the research and construction of the system of the early warning model of prediction of the oil and gas production, including gas field production and operation forecast model system, gas well production and operation forecast model system, oil production is running prediction model system, the production operation of oil well forecast model system and so on, also need to be further strengthened and related parameters selection also need to optimize the depth.This paper is established in this paper production of oil and gas prediction model early warning system, and developed a set of suitable in the oil field, the actual production of the application system, for different block gas field, oil blocks, the establishment of a different prediction models to analyze, forecast and early warning management. Through the validation data of oil field of the substitution of different production stages, fit the historical data and compared with the practical production data analysis, to optimize the parameters of the model. In field application of feedback indicates, the oil and gas production index comprehensive early warning system can better meet the field of oil production data needs analysis, the oil and gas production prediction model system is in line with the actual situation of the oil field. |