Research Of S Group Product Develop Risk Assessment

During the11th five-year plan of China, Automotive industry made quite noticeable progress. From2005to2010, average increase rate around25%in these five years. Automotive parts development project is a systemic project. Automotive industry project are managed by PM in these days. Risk assessment, one of the most important part of PM, already developed for a long time, but most of local suppliers are still not aware of this. So lack of risk identification and assessment methods, which will be negative on local supplier product development. This research focus on risk assessment.Firstly with brain storm, list risk factors as possible. According to Delphi analysis, evaluate risk factors by the committee of experts from S company. By AHP, calculated coefficient of risk factors, according to8020principle, select most important80%factors as main factors, and finished building risk factors system.For clarify the influence of factors, a risk assessment model was built up based on Neural Network with self learning function. According to input data, training the network and apply the trained network to test and forecast.An application case will be explained according to the Model of risk assessment, describe detail in applied method to show how it is an effective tool.