Research On Interaction Between Modern Logistics Industry And Economic Development Of Shaanxi Province

There is close interaction between logistics industry and regional economic development:the development of the regional economy will accelerate the growth of the logistics needs andsupply, and promote the development of logistics industry. And the considerable developmentof the regional logistics industry will not only accelerate the growth of regional economic, butwill also optimize the industrial structure. The interactive system of modern logistics industryand economic development is a complex system which contains lots of elements.Only thefactors which in the interactive system of modern logistics industry and economicdevelopment coordinate fully, can the whole system develop better.This paper uses system dynamics method to solve the complex problems of theinteractive system. Firstly, considering the specific situation of Shaanxi province, this paperanalyses the relationship between modern logistics industry and regional economicdevelopment on the basis of relevant theories, and clears and definites the objective of thesystem, sets the borders and constructs a quantitative index system of system variables.Secondly, this paper draw out the causality graph on the basis of the analysis of systemstructure, and propose the assumptions of relationship between main variables. With the helpof Eviews software, the paper uses the econometric methods to estimate parameters and verifythe hypothesis which is proposed in last step.Then, the paper conforms a model whichcontains47variables、32factions and a SD flow chart. Thirdly, with the help of vensim PLEsoftware, through structure and historical data testing, the model has proved to be feasible andeffective. By means of system simulation function, this paper analyses the the influence ofmodern logistics industry on the development of economy in Shannxi and the influence of thedevelopment of economy in shaanxi on modern logistics industry.By simulation, this paperfound that: there is a positive interactive relationship between the modern logistics industryand regional economy of Shaanxi province. Finally, this paper put forward the correspondingpolicy recommendations in order to coordinate the development of Shaanxi province logistics industry and economic development. This paper is a qualitative and quantitative research onthe interactive relationship between modern logistics industry and the economic developmentin Shaanxi province, it provides a a feasible theory basis to the coordinative development ofogistics industry and the economic development.