Research On Urban Slow Transportation-demanding Forecast Based On Land-use

Urban slow transportation demand forecasting is the basis of city slowtransportation planning， which directly affects the slow transportation efficiency andslow transportation facilities service level of the whole city. Based on land use， howto scientifically， reasonably slow transportation demand forecasting， is becoming aresearch direction prediction of current our country city slow transportation demand.On the objective analysis of city slow transportation demand， based on the presentresearch， with the widespread use of the "four stage" prediction method as the basis，the paper establishes city slow transportation demand forecasting model， whichcombined with the related factors of land use.By elaboration of the basic content of the concept of the multi-level nature andsignificance of the city slow transportation demand forecast， the paper demonstratesthe complexity and importance of slow transportation demand forecast.From relationof the land use and city slow transportation generation，study the microscopic analysisof slow transportation zone division; According to the different land low analysis of thetransportation participants slow transportation characteristics， it lays the theoreticalfoundation for slow transportation demand forecasting model; Through theimprovement of "four stages"， based on factors such as the establishment of aland-use development intensity. it found slow transportation demand forecast model;Making the macro， micro level， the land use scale， nature and strength as the mainfactor affecting transportation generated， paper analysis determine the slow tripattraction weight through regression and build land use slow form transportationgeneration forecast model， as well as a combination of examples， verifying thefeasibility and reliability of the model， which provides a reasonable basis for the slow transportation planning and organization.Studying slow transportation behavior on public transport trips， the paperestablishes the public transport auxiliary pedestrian transportation demand forecastmodel as well as bicycle parking demand forecasting model. Creating slowtransportation demand forecast model，which plays a good role in guiding of slow citytransportation system planning basis， gives full play to the availability of slowtransportation facilities， and plays its optimal level， in order to greatly improvecatalytic role on people’s travel efficiency， travel security.