China Inbound Tourism In 1997-2010 Carbon Emissions Estimation And Influence Factors Analysis

Greenhouse gas emissions brought by fossil energy has sparked a series of climate crisis what influence on human survival and social development. The countries all over the world have reached a political consensus to save energy use, reduce greenhouse gas emissions. But saving energy use and reducing greenhouse gas emissions will go against to economic development in the short term. For many developing countries, energy conservation and emission reduction should not stop its right for development. For china to save energy use and reduce greenhouse gas emissions must understand carbon emissions of that industry firstly, research and evaluation carbon emission quantitatively, and then determine whether it adapt to the stage of economic development or not. Finally determine whether take steps to implement energy conservation and emission reduction or not in the short term and how to cut carbon emissions.Inbound tourism industry of China has developed rapidly since the reform and open in1978, created great tourist foreign exchange, made outstanding contributions in boosting employment and promoting the economic development in poor areas, which Is the important way for our country exchanges culture to foreign.This paper takes the Chinese inbound tourism as the research object, Select entry tourism consumption data in1997-2010as the sample. Firstly estimate carbon emissions of entry tourism by input-output model, then evaluate carbon emissions by using carbon emissions intensity index and carbon emissions decoupling index. Finally using kaya equation and logarithmic mean weight method to decompose and estimate the influence factors of entry tourism carbon emissions, analyzing the main factors and its effect.Through the research this paper comes to these main conclusions:(1) The carbon emissions of Chinese inbound tourism grown rapid in1997-2010, increased by2.07times, and growth trend obviously.(2) The carbon emissions of Chinese inbound tourism had kept a health status in1997-2010. Carbon emissions intensity reduced year by year, and has been below the world and the national average. Carbon emissions and entry tourism foreign exchange income decoupling obvious.(3) The main factors what effects Chinese inbound tourism carbon emissions obviously in1997-2010are the number of inbound tourism, tourist per capita consumption and energy consumption strength. Finally, the author summarized research conclusion and reviewed the whole content, pointed out the deficiency, and the research direction in the future.