Research On International Dry Bulk Cargo Shipping Market

International dry bulk cargo shipping market, important component of international shipping market, is becoming more and more important with international economic development and adjustment, the increase of international trade, and its competition is fiercer too. As other cargo transporting market, the international dry bulk cargo shipping market is influenced by world political event, economic fluctuation and natural factors, it increases the business risks of shipping enterprises. In order to hold the situation of the international dry bulk cargo shipping market and reduce the risk for the shipping enterprises, it is necessary to conduct an analysis of and research into the international dry bulk cargo shipping market.Since 2003, the performance of international dry and bulk market was very powerful. The demand based on the import of China's iron core and Japan's coal rises; sharply, while trade of corn and minor bulk is also very active, and the BDI index kept on climbing, reached the historical peak. But along with the near two year new ships put into service unceasingly, the traffic amount demand growth was less than supply growth, the international dry and bulk market started to walk lowly, the transportation charges index also continued to fall. How will the international dry and bulk market goes in the next years, there are many different opinions. Therefore this paper analyzed the future bulk shipping market trend, in hope that it will provide some references to the bulk shipping companies.Firstly, this paper focuses on the characteristic of international bulk shipping market, make a careful analysis to its developing trend from the perspective of demand and supply of the market, then in the time series model, grey model and combination model method were used to forecast the demand and supply trend, at last this paper adopt "the demand-supply balance method" to analyze the balance between supply and demand of the future market. Finally this paper selected the optimized bulk ship type according to the results.