Study On The Development Scale And Technology Choice Of China’s Nuclear Power

With rapid socio-economic development in China, the huge and ever increasingenergy consumption brings huge pressure on energy supply and environmentprotection, and brings unprecedentedly challenges to China’s sustainabledevelopment.With large unit capacity, high loading factor, and near zero conventionalemissions and carbon dioxide emissions, nuclear power has become an importanttechnical solution for increasing clear energy supply in the near-and mid-term andrealizing a smooth transition to low-carbon economy in the future for China. However,it is still debated how much nuclear power capacity we should build and what kind ofnuclear power technology we should adopted in the future, especially before2030.This paper treats the problem as a system engineering problem, employssystematic analysis method to analyze and discuss the development scale andtechnology choice of China’s nuclear power up to2030, and tries to reveal the majorinfluencing factors and the underlying relationships. Firstly, from the perspective ofthe sustainable development of macro energy system, we analyze the function andposition of nuclear power and the requirements by sustainable development. Then,from the perspective of the sustainable development of power system, we analyze themajor influencing factors of nuclear power development, and analyze severalscenarios of nuclear power capacity before2030based on the balance of powersupply and consumption. Thirdly, from the perspective of the sustainabledevelopment of nuclear power system, we designed various routes of nuclear powertechnology development, and analyze and compare several scenarios using theaccident frequency and total investment as the main indicators. In the final part, fromthe perspective of the effiecnt use of uranium energy, we also analyze the thermaleffiency, fuel consumption, and the influencing factors of a nuclear power plant.