Analysis Of Financial Risk Factors Of Small-and Medium-sized Landfill Plant Project

At present, the cost risk analyse of small and medium-sized project is still on theroughness process. Few quantification index is applied to reality for the reason ofspeciality of those project. On the other hand, some analyse method, like Monte-Carloand rough set, was put into use by application software which is a short-cut forsimplify process and reduce cost. Crystal ball should list as the premier class which isadded-on application base on Microsoft office, it would change the complicatedreal-time data to helpful decision chart.Combined practical routine with theory research, search for the regular risk factorthat affect the small-and medium sized landfill plant project, investigate therelationship among these factors, make the most important factor to be classifying andsystematizing， introduce special NPV mathematical model. Get project riskmanagement theory, the method of probability and mathematical statistics, computertechnology together. Via Monte-Carlo analysis, took the crystal ball as an essentialtool to analyse the NPV mathematical model. Seek for the key factor affect the projectfinancial feasibility. The final goal would be exploring some financial riskmanagement method which would be comprehensible, accurately and effectively..