Empirical Analysis Of The Impacts Of Trade And Economic Growth On Carbon Emissions In Shandong Province

For now, many countries have paid more attention to Eco-environmental protection and climate change issues. Cutting greenhouse-gas emissions is not just an effective measure to cope with climatic change, but also a Hotpoint of environment, economy, society and politics. The influence on the carbon emissions of trade and growth is a special case of research on development and environment issues, this subject was presented on the background of global warming and carbon reduction. Shandong is one of the biggest provinces in economy, it has already realized GDP to￥3380.53 billion in 2009, ranked third and made a great contribution to China's growth, but Shandong's high pollution, high emissions, low-tech, low value-added industries play a large part in industrial economy, meanwhile, trade is in lower reaches of global supply chains, these problems have seriously restricted economic sustainable development. With the acceleration in the process of economy globalization and advanced level of urbanization, Shandong's energy consumption and carbon emissions will continue to grow for decades. If we continue use the existing development patterns, we will face both resource and environment pressures, along with some new covert trade protection measures. Therefore, we must recognize the current economic growth situation of Shandong province, clear the influence of trade and growth on carbon emissions, these actions will help our government set reasonable policies of energy saving and economic development, well into the low carbon development road, so as to realize a benign cycle of economic development.This paper is divided into five parts with the main themes of each part as follows:The first part is introduction, including the background, values, main ideas, innovation and deficiencies. The second part focuses on the literature review. It reviews the literatures on nation tier and area tier for the past thirty years. The third part is theoretical analysis, about the impact of trade and economic growth on carbon emissions, this part uses the coordinate methods and gets an emotional cognition, that is to say, Shandong province is in the first quartile. The fourth part is empirical analysis of Shandong province, based on the data of carbon emissions, trade, economic growth and energy consumption from the year 1980 to 2009.Conclusion shows:These four variables have long-term cointegration relationship; Energy consumption and trade are the Grange cause of carbon emissions, but economic growth is not the Granger cause of carbon emissions. Shandong is the heaven and the transfer of carbon emission pollution, but the current situation is fit for the high income stage of "kuznets curve", environmental quality is improved as income soared. The fifth part is the conclusion and related policy suggestions, including the summary of the research and some feasible measures to reduce carbon emissions in Shandong province. Climate change is not only an environmental problem, but also a development issue, in the end; we must solve the problem in developing. We can through "trade structure optimization","development emission reduction" and "trade emission reduction" means to realize the sustainable development of economy and environment and then establish a friendly society.