| Hydropower Plant bidding price technology supporting system is a system that can be used for analyzing the usable information for market combining with the characteristics and cost analysis of power electrical company and crew operation and evade risk for the power station bidding price on the intemet and it is an assistant decision system obtaining the greatest economic benefits.The thesis firstly does research on water electricity station reservoir path flows estimate and the superior running despatch in the power product assistant models, mainly discusses the math model of estimate of day path to flow of a water electricity station reservoir and compares and analyzes the results of all kinds of models; it analyzes the relative model of single water electricity station running and despatching per day and an electric water steps station running and despatching per day based on the path flows estimate. Then this thesis carries on analysis of the cost of the power plant, elaborates two kinds of methods of power plant costing, and based on the analysis of power plant product cost, discusses the estimate model of settling accounts of giving or getting an electric shock the price on the Internet for water power station, which is based on the single market circumstance of random electricity price model foundation, and makes use of several theories of geometry Browns movements to build up the electricity price model. During studying the limit electricity price estimation, this thesis analyzes using line ambulation from returning to return model to estimate real-time limit electricity the price to the next day 96, finally, quotes calculation examples to carry on elucidation, furthermore, analyzes water power station to press cost analysis to carry on offer and the quote strategy based on the market's pure electricity price, etc., especially, investigates the problem of the superior risk bidding strategy which uses the risk decision method, makes use of effective theory to solve the problems of risk decision, obtains the main steps of using effective theory to solve the problems of risk decision-making, sets up a model on the basis of effective power plant superior risk bidding strategy tactics mode, uses "effect point distance bisection method" to construct the effect function model of superior bidding strategy for generates electricity company and quotes the concrete arithmetic example to test the model. At the end, it makes the discussion on the whole framework and all model functions of the hydropower plant price bidding technique supporting system. |
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