A Study On The Current Situation And Development Trend Of Labor Force Population In Guizhou Province

In the1970’s, the family planning policy was fully implemented andmade significant achievement. Rate of the natural population growth wasgradually reduced, this made a contribution to the development of China’spopulation and the sustainable development of our country; created a goodpopulation environment for building the well-off society in an all-roundway. But, our country has the most abundant labor resources in developingcountries, and working age population booms in our country, the pressureof employment is high, this brought the huge challenge to constructwell-off society in our country. Guizhou is one of the economicallybackward areas in China, population and the labor force is growing in thisarea, the data of the sixth census shows that the working age populationis23million,66.21%of the population. Although the rate of theworking-age population is high, but the quality of the working-agepopulation is low, and more rural labor force, for now, labor supplyexceeds demand, there are unemployed, but because of the backward economyin Guizhou, many labor move to developed regions, and with the developmentof economic, labor demand is also increasing in Guizhou, so the problemof labor supply and demand in the future is worth studying, all these willhave a large impact on the economic development in Guizhou.In this paper, we mainly used the data of the fifth census and thesixth census, and Guizhou statistical yearbook in recent years. First,analyzing the current situation of population and labor age populationin Guizhou, then according to the characteristics of populationdevelopment of Guizhou to set the required parameters, and using thedevelopment of multi regional discrete population model and the CPPSsoftware, setting high, medium and low solution, to predict the populationand the labor age population of Guizhou from2010to2050. There havecertain differences of the result in the two methods, mainly because ofdifferent assumptions of the two methods, the development of multiregional discrete population model is an open model, this model predictsthat the population of Giuzhou is declining, and working age populationhave short-term slow rise, then continue to decline, CPPS software is ina closed condition to predict, this model predicts that population and the labor age population are rising before downward trend, becauseunderdeveloped economy in Guizhou, there are many labor move to developedregions, so there have certain differences between closed model resultand the actual, so predicted result mainly depends on the development ofmulti regional discrete population model in this article, predictedresult of the CPPS software as a reference.The last, On the basis of predicted results of the two models, usingspecific labor participation rate, to predict the labor force populationfrom2010to2050, founding that labor force population has a tendencyto decline after rising, and the elderly population explosion, the agingtrend is obvious. on this basis, we used the double logarithmic model topredict the demand for labor in the future in Guizhou, The result showsthat the labor supply is not adequate to the demand, In this case, in orderto make up this situation and ease the burden of labor force, developingthe elderly labor resources is a good solution, so we put forward thenecessity of developing labor resources of the elder, and severalcountermeasures to develop elderly labor resources.