Epidemic Law Based On The Theory Of Chinese Luck And Meteorological Data Mining Research

WuYunliuqi is an important part of TCM theory. This doctrine uses the overall concept as the guide that man and nature are corresponding to each other. It summarizes the variation of the weather, and the impact of weather changes on human body, as well as on the attack of diseases, including epidemic disease. Based on the meteorological data and disease data in Beijing in the last 30 years, the projects study the relationship among Yunqi, weather and epidemics, discuss the impact of WuYunliuqi and weather changes on the epidemics, so as to explore the rule of infectious diseases and give a further exposition of the theory.Objective:To explore the periodic clinical characteristics of some infectious diseases and combined with changes of meteorological factors, to evaluate the theory of WuYunliuqi systematically. To study the relationship between the variation of meteorological factors and the attack of epidemic diseases.To provide direction for research on the theory of WuYunliuqi.Methods and Contents:Based on the database of the meteorological factors collected in Beijing area in 1970-2004, analyzes the change law and the abnormal changes of the meteorological factors, including the daily average temperature, the daily average wind speed, the daily average relative humidity, the daily average rainfall, the daily average vapor pressure, etc. To build the database of epidemic disease in Beijing area in 1970-2004, and descript its yearly and monthly change, including intestinal infection diseases, respiratory diseases, insect vectors infectious disease and other infectious diseases.Based on six phase data, we want to make the correlation analysis of the meteorological factors and the attack of infectious diseases, to descript the impact of the meteorological factors on infectious diseases and to establish the weather prediction model.With the WuYunliuqi theory and the calendar of Lunar Year, to analyze the incidence of infectious diseases, to study the impact of different years on infectious diseases, and to evaluate the goodness of fit combined with changes in the weather.Results:The relationship between the attack of intestinal diseases and the meteorological factors shows as follows:intestinal diseases is high-risk in the third and the fourth phases, the relationships between the incidence and the average temperature, or the average precipitation, or the average relative humidity, or the average vapor pressure is a positive correlation.The relationship between the incidence of intestinal diseases and average wind speed shows as negative correlation. The degrees of the weather effects on the prevalence of intestinal infectious diseases decrease as the following, the average vapor pressure, the average precipitation, the average relative humidity, the average temperature and the average wind speed.The relationships between the attack of respiratory diseases and the meteorological factors show as follows:the respiratory infectious diseases is high-risk in sixth phase, and the relationship between the incidence and the average temperature, or the average precipitation, or the average relative humidity, or the average vapor pressure is negative correlation, and the relationship between the incidence and the average wind speed shows as a positive parabola. The degrees of the weather effects on the prevalence of respiratory infectious diseases decrease as the following, the average temperature,the average vapor pressure, the average relative humidity, the average precipitation and the average wind speed.The relationships between the attack of insect-borne infectious diseases and the meteorological factors show as follows:the relationship between the incidence of insect-borne infectious diseases and the average relative humidity, or the average vapor pressure is positive correlation, the relationship between the incidence and the average wind speed shows as a negative parabola, and there is no correlation between the incidence of insect-borne infectious diseases and the average temperature. The degrees of the weather effects on the prevalence of insect-borne infectious diseases decrease as the following, the average wind speed, the average relative humidity, the average precipitation and the vapor pressure.Conclusion:The prevalence of the epidemic and climate change have obvious relevance, different weather factors has different degree impact on the prevalent of infectious diseases. Through the observation of different weather changes, the prevalence of the epidemic is predictable. Infectious diseases are change in cycle regularity.WuYunliuqi can predict weather changes and can predict the occurrence of infectious diseases.