The Research On The Multi-information Fusion Of 3G Mobile-phone Market Forecasting

As mobile phones in daily life is more and more extensive, traditional 2G mobile already can't satisfy people's needs, 3G phones appeared under the such circumstances. But in the new market, there is competition also has a risk. How do market forecast, has become the key to the relationship between manufacturers of production and retailer of sales, determines the long-term development of the enterprise and business success.Through the analysis of the traditional market forecast method, we can get that these methods of utilization degree of information is not complete.How to synthesize these information, play their biggest role, is a typical uncertain problems.This research firstly analyzes the characteristics of 3G mobile-phone market, and introduces some method of traditional market forecast, analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of them, describes the detailed pretreatment process of the information, combines the latest progress in the development of information fusion, takes market information as the sensor of information, using the thought of multi-source of information fusion and D-S evidence theory fusion algorithm which handles uncertainty have great advantages,gives the distributed fusion model of multi-source information fusion that used in market forecast based on D-S evidence theory,and gives the specific forecast steps.Finally, this paper integrates the sale of 3G mobile phone market in one year of Hubei province, combines the method of quantitative prediction, based on information fusion with the prediction model, given the sale of next month, which makes full use of the market information, improve the market forecast accuracy.The article union the subjective and objective factors, fully utilize the market information,the forecasting method improve the market forecast accuracy.