Study On Land Price Forecasting Of Zhengzhou

Along with our country's land utilization system's reform, our country's land market grows from infancy to maturity, specially for the urban land market, in the cities, the sale and transfer of land use rights is becoming more market-oriented, land price has become the important measures for regulations of land supply and demand , rational flow and reasonable configuration of land-use rights. It is also an important means to produce the greatest benefits and has increasingly close relationship with people's everyday life and social life. Research on urban land development and changes in trends have an important significance for the government to formulate a reasonable macro-control policies, the sound development of China's land market and corporate investment decisions.Marx's theory of land rent, Western economics, price theory, and location theory are used in this paper as a guide while the latest research results at home and abroad on urban land prices are tracked. The datas are from the Integrated Land Price of the China's urban land dynamic monitoring system in 1998-2008 in Zhengzhou and Zhengzhou Statistical Yearbook and relevant information. On the basis of datas analysis and processing, by means of SPSS statistical analysis software, quantitative study of the impacts of a integrated land price in Zhengzhou City, the relevant factors and arrived at nine strongly correlated factors.Then this article separately using the gray GM(1,1) forecast model, the BP neural network model and the gray neural network model, has carried on the forecast to 2009-2013 in Zhengzhou, through comparing the size of the average error of each prediction method,to obtain a more suitable prediction model approach in the integrated land price in Zhengzhou City, and has carried on the forecast five years (2009-2013)integrated land price in zhengzhou by using the model.