Research Of Influencing Factor And Change Trend Of Chongqing Regional Economies Difference

Chongqing uses the opportunity of a series of regional development policies that scale western development, urban and rural construction and so on to develop its economy, and pursue the harmony of economic development.But for a long, in course of the strategy implementation, regional economic disparities of Chongqing exist all the time, and takes on a growing trend,which is conflicting to the effect of policy implementation in theory,that regional economic disparities in Chongqing don't present the reduction tendency-expectated along with the economic development.Therefore the article takes Chongqing as a overall region,proposes the question that how the regional economic disparities of Chongqing will change on the effect of changing of some factors.This has certain significance to deeper understanding and utilization of region coordinated development theory,as well as region coordinated development strategy's formulation. The article uses the PGDP as the major target to weigh regional economic disparities of Chongqing,takes Chongqing as a region whole,and plot it out "an hour circle"and"two wings",uses some methods that statistics, measurement, model building, gray predict to study the question that how regional economic disparities of Chongqing will change under major effect of factor function,and obtain certain conclusion.the article mainly comprise several aspects as following:1.Regional economic disparities of Chongqing extended obviously recent years. Regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing is annalyzed from the space, the disparities between"an hour circle"and"two wings"and the the internal diversity in"an hour circle"effect Regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing immensly.Annalyzes it from the industry, the effect of disparities in the secondary industry and the tertiary industry is big,the primary industry difference is very small.2.The change of crucial factor is advantageous in reducing regional economic disparities of Chongqing gradually:(1)Capital flowing will be advantageous in reducing the entended-trend of regional economic disparities of Chongqing.for instance,the governmental transfer payment is helpful to improving the area infrastructure condition of"two wings";the reform of banking industry can improve the financing environment for small and medium-sized enterprise,specially for the villages and towns small business in"two wings",enhance the capital efficiency in "two wings",reduce the disparities of the capital effiency between"an hour circle"and"two wings". However, it'simpossible that this trend of capital flowing can eliminate the regional disparities rapidly,the disparities will exist in the long time;(2)The labor force flowing promotes economic growth of"an hour circle",suppresses the rate of rise of its area payroll cost at the same time,also reduces the region employment pressure in"two wings",displayes the superiority of the region labor force capital of"two wings",which is advantageous to the reduction of disparity of sector per capitanational income and poverty.But because the boundary productivity disparity between"an hour circle"and"two wings"is quite big, the potential flowing of labor force is big too;(3) "an hour circle"is the commanding point that talented people massed,this fact will not change long time,the increase of educational outlay to"two wings" is the base of forming the human capital and increasing capital marginal output, this will be advantageous in reducing the difference of marginal capital output in the future.(4) Development of rural's industrialization, especially development of rural-enterprise,impelled economical development of "two wings", enhancement of the urbanization degree, as well as expansion of its coverage area, strengthened the radiation effect between regional.But in the future, rural enterprise will limit its function to slow down the regional economies difference because of its own limitation, in the cause of urbanization the rural labor force shift and the labor force employment have been the crucial questions.3.Regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing accord with the"inverseU"curve,and in the ascent stage of the"inverseU"curve,in the future it will be likely to rise acceleratly in the future.Regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing still being extend in the future,but the extending-speed of disparities between"an hour circle"and"two wings"will slow down obviously.Whether it's possible that regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing approaches to inflexion of the curve"inverseU",we must consider what about the speed of urbanization of Chongqing.If the speed of urbanization is higher than the speed of expansion of the economical difference,it's possible that regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing approaches to inflexion of the curve"inverseU".Even if it requires the time, and also the tendency of expanding will exist possibly in future,the circulation of capital,the opened market,as well as policy guidance of government,the radiation effect of"an hour circle"towarding"two wings" subdomain regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing which is consistent with the forecast data.4.If we want to reduce the expanding space of regional economic overall disparities of Chongqing,even reduce this disparities,it's must that different region of Chongqing takes different policy,developes preponderant industry,uses and enhances the efficiency of resources reasonably,especially the government pays great attention to"two wings"in the local policy support.