The Analysis Of International Coal Market Quotation And Research Of Shanxi Strategy

Since the 21st century, along with the world economics development, the various countries in the energy production, the expense and the trade aspect all have had the obvious growth, the world energy supplies situation are day by day anxious. In addition correlation energy resources such as petroleum, natural gas price stays at a high level for a long time, the world gradually give the high attention and re-knew to the coal resources which becomes estranged and fades from the memory. Our country at present is being in the industrialization the intermediate stage, the industrialization advancement obviously speeds up, the industrial structure and the consumption pattern promote day by day, more and more is also big to the energy demand. But our country energy resources characteristic is the fat coal and poor in oil, the coal is always the most main energy, in future, also will be safest and the most reliable energy in our country strategy. This has provided the important turning point for Shanxi province which is rich in the coal resources.This article embarks from the analysis of international coal market quotation, reviews postwar, since specially 80's international coal market condition; Then carries on the analysis to the coal market quotation origin, expends the diagram of curves comparison using the world economics growth and the coal price changes as well as the Chinese economy growth and the coal expense, elaborates that the economical cycle decides to the coal market quotation decision ; When analyses coal supply and demand relations, using method which qualitative and the quantitative analysis unifies, the article, on the one hand will analyze coal reserves and the energy policy which lead the coal future supplies to hasten the tight, on the other hand will promulgate the coal future demand day by day grow from the coal attribute angle, thus will obtain the long-term coal market fall short of demand, coal market quotation rise; In addition, the article has emphatically analyzed labor productivity, the labor force cost and the environment cost which affect coal market quotation, as well as petroleum market quotation changes lead to coal market quotation undulation. By the synthesis of above the factor together function, obtains for 50 years even more long time, the coal market quotation still assumed the cyclical change and the base gradually raise, the top digit time gradually grew, the overall presented the rise.Following the article carries on the comparison on the Chinese and foreign main coal import and export country's policy, has promulgated the world coal industrial policy adjustment characteristic through the comparative analysis, give our country the important enlightenment for coal industrial policy adjustment , pointed out our country should reduce the coal massive exportation, the increase coal strategic reserve, vigorously promotes the clean coal technology, realizes the coal security, the endurance and the market stability through the policy adjustment.Finally in the foundation of above studies, the article specifically has analyzed the Shanxi coal industry development condition, pointed out the coal economy is "the double-edged sword" to Shanxi. Emphatically analyzes the Shanxi coal industry development existence question, promulgates that the present Shanxi coal industry still belongs to the labor-intensive, which basically restricts Shanxi coal industry development, and unite world coal market quotation change tendency, model overseas coal industry development success experience, rest on Shanxi the resources condition, propose that according to the development circulation economy request, promote the clean coal technology, extend the coal industry chain, establish the new pillar industry, cultivate the new economical growth spot, realize coal industry transformation from the labor-intensive to the technology-intensive, thus transform Shanxi from resources big province into economical strong province.