The Relationship Between Pollution And Economic Development Of Hunan Province

Environmental pollution has a great effect to our economimc development and social life. Many economists tried to find the relationship between economic development and the environmental pollution and . In 1995, American economist Simon·Kuznets did many statistic analysis, and put forward the famous Kuznets income reverse U curve. It believes, in the early developing period of the economy, the income gap is small; as the economy develops, the gap becomes lager; and when the economy develops, the gap will become smaller again. Many foreign scholars did research on average GDP and pollution indexes from developed countries. They got a result: the reverse U exists between economic development and environmental pollution. But many native scholars did research on data from China, they found the shape are U, reverse U, N, reverse N and even straight line. I will make use of data from Hunan Province to make a regression to analyze if the relationship between environmental pollution and average GDP is a reverse U curve, just as the environmental Kuznets Curve describes?In this paper, we will use the data of Hunan Province from 1988 to 2004 to make a regression analysis between environmental pollution and economic development. The pollution indexes are industrial waste water, waste gas, waste solid. The economic developing index is average GDP of Hunan. The analysis shows that At last, the relationship between economic development and pollution are N, reverse N and U shape. And we also find, if we choose the data from a coutry that has a different economic developing background, for example, industry structure, international environment policy and a different index to estimate the economic development and pollution, we will get different curves. We can see from the paper, the eonomical life has nothing to do with the environmental Kuznets curve. If the economic growth is great, the environment pollution is more serious. The higher the rate of the light industry in the industrial structure is, the lower the environmental pollution is. The number of people also has something to do with the curve,and the quality of the people can influence the environment. If technology is advanced, the environment will be improved. The government establish some environment policy can protect the environment, and then change the shape of the curve. From this paper, we can know the environmental Kuznets Curve is just one of the relationship between the environmental pollution and economic development.