Supervision And Examination Of Listed Companies' Financial Risk And Research Of Pre-warning Model

In recent years, the scale of our country's securities market becomes increasingly strong, however, as a whole, the achievement of listed companies can not be optimistic, among which the most outstanding problem is that the loss coverage and loss amount of listed companies show a trend of increasing annually, how to objectively appraise the financial status of listed companies, especially those forecasted to have financial risk possibly, is of great significance for investors to adjust investment decisions timely, for supervision level to define company's situation correctly, and for investing banks to develop service clients effectively. So it is very important to conduct effective supervision and examination towards listed companies' financial status as well as to build up a effective pre-warning system. This thesis will first make a detailed comprehension about financial risk of listed companies and theory of risk pre-warning, and then define the ST plate of listed companies as enterprise of financial risk, and based on the financial data of ST plate and non-ST plate of listed company, select sample companies of telecom computer industry as study target, set up mathematical model which is useful in forecasting enterprise's financial risk in this industry, and combine the analysis and comparison towards some sensitive financial guidelines, so as to launch warning ahead of time.The following is a brief introduction about the main content of this thesis.1^st section: illustrates the study background and study significance of this theory.2^nd section: introduces the relevant theories of financial risk pre-warning system and relevant study methods3^rd section: choose listed company of telecom computer industry as samples, and select 5 financial ratios through distinction examination, and then set up Logistic Regress Model and Linear Probability Model respectively so as to examine their effectiveness, and next combine the change of relevant financial guidelines to make a study on financial pre-warning system.4th: make a final conclusion and present some suggestion to our country's listed companies.