Study On Supply Risks Analysis Method And Its Application For Automobile Components Suppliers

With the economic globalization and rapid change of automobile market environment, the factors that influence the supply risk of our country automobile components suppliers are more and more complicate, supply system of automobile components supplier face the unprecedented change and challenge in the new century, so, it is so important to solve the problem that existing in the supply system, to control the supply risk in certain range effectively and to promote the ability of automobile enterprise to resist its supplier and supply risk. This paper will carry on deep discussion on automobile components supplier supply risk and the method of risk analysis on the basis of absorbing the thinking of domestic and international relevant research and research results. This paper explains the basic theories of risk analysis and basic conception at first, introduce the basic procedure of risk analysis and commonsense method, survey the development of risk analysis of enterprise and supply risk of automobile components supplier in our country and the research of its current situation, detail analysis the current situation of automobile components supplier supply system and supply risk of automobile components supplier on its base. According to analysis of supply risk of automobile components supplier, combine with the existing problems of supply system of automobile components supplier in our country, systematically analysis all kinds of risk factor that influence the supply of automobile components supplier, discuss the principle of set automobile components supplier supply risk evaluation index system. Provide evaluation standard of automobile components supplier supply risk based on examines process dynamically. Use the analytical method that combined with quantitative and determine the nature to set up integrated supply risks evaluation index system of automobile components suppliers and the fuzzy comprehensive judgment model of supply risk. Supply concrete scheme of automobile components suppliers risk management and explain the main content and principle of supply risk exchange. Finally, apply the above theory research results to enterprise's real stock risk analysis; regard one automobile components company in Chongqing as the instance of using, as to current situation and existing problem of supply system and supply management, use the integrated supply risks evaluation index system of automobile components suppliers and the fuzzy comprehensive judgment model of supply risk that set up in this paper to analysis the supply risk of the company,obtain a good application result.