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The Study Of Agent-based Complex Economy System Model Analogue System

Posted on:2012-02-20Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:G H QuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2178330335980063Subject:Industrial Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The economic system is a typical complex system, which consists of various kinds of economic agents. In consequence, the according research methods should focus on new tools, which adapt to complex system study, instead of the traditional equilibrium static modeling methods. The Microanalysis Simulation model came forth in the 1960s and made a great development from 80s to 90s in America and Europe, which is represented by the famous models TRIM2 and ASPEN etc. However the domestic study on MS modeling is still poor and the paper is an exploration to the MS modeling methods. Firstly,based on the study of specific abroad successful models and combining Discret Evevt System Simulation with Object-Oriented methods and technology,the paper discusses to create Microanalysis analysis simulation model's general method which the author puts foreward is"Agent"——"Rule table"——"Agent-EventTable"general method of systematical designing technique adopted by computer to run for MS modeling, Subsequently, the paper sets up a simple market economy MS model with two,three and four macroeconomic sectors based on the foregoing methods. This paper designs agent models for four different nodes agents, and definse person,enterprise,government and foreign trade actions, and makes an economy simulation in which the author apply created MS modeling to simulate the basic status of two sectors,three sectors and four departments economy and analyzes that investment increasing can cause the GDP increasing for a whole economy system, then has a influence on the macroeconomic economy and other enterprises'economy. The analysis and one economic explain are given for the simulation outcome, which verifies the feasibility and validity of the methods put foreward in the paper. In the end the paper discusses the shortcomings and problems which need further study in the model.The main content of this article for the following several aspects:(1)the background and significance of the paper's researches,the research status of home and abroad and the designs and ideas of the modling system.(2) the system realization related basic technology and theory.(3) modeling method of multi- agent economy complex system:creating "Agent"——"- Rule table"——"Agent-EventTable" method.(4) microscopic analysis simulation of two departments, three departments and four departments subject classification statistics and realizing; Agent node simulation modeling; The Agent of node to member variables set; Each of the trigger mechanism between events; The construction of basic data template.(5) Agent infereneing machine and rule library design.(6) System database design; Based on the three-layer framework.net database library business system development.(7)Prototype system design and implementation; User layer interface introduction and results data analysis concluded.
Keywords/Search Tags:Complex economy system, Micro simulation model, Agent simulation, Economy model, The structure of three layers
PDF Full Text Request
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